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Photo: © Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia) 1975
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
19 Dec 2024 · T20
Kardinia Park, South Geelong, Victoria · Venue photographRecorded result
Hobart Hurricanes started on 52%; Hobart Hurricanes batted first.
Hobart Hurricanes's chances ranged from 0% to 62% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 38% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Fraser-McGurkbowled · Billy Stanlake 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Billy Stanlake | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Josh Browncaught · Mitchell Owen · Nathan Ellis 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mitchell Owen · b Nathan Ellis | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 118.18 |
| Tim Seifertnot out 4 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 37* | 19 | 4 | 2 | 194.74 |
| Jacob Bethellcaught · Ben McDermott · Nathan Ellis 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben McDermott · b Nathan Ellis | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Laurie Evanscaught · Ben McDermott · Riley Meredith 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ben McDermott · b Riley Meredith | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 140.00 |
| not out |
| 10* |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 125.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Billy Stanlake0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 14.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Nathan Ellis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-10 (Jake Fraser-McGurk, 1.2) · 2-51 (Josh Brown, 4.2) · 3-60 (Jacob Bethell, 6.3) · 4-67 (Laurie Evans, 7.2)
Recorded target: 75 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 25 | 51/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 53/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 59/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 61/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 70/4 |
| 9 | 8 | 78/4 |
Kane Richardson: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Billy Stanlake: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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