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Photo: Javs1233
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
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Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Women's World Cup · 2025/26 · Women
7 Oct 2025 · ODI
Barsapara Cricket Stadium, Guwahati · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 21%; Bangladesh batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubya Haidercaught · Sophia Dunkley · Lauren Bell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sophia Dunkley · b Lauren Bell | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
 Sharmin Akhtercaught · Amy Jones · Sophie Ecclestone6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Jones · b Sophie Ecclestone | 30 | 52 | 6 | 0 | 57.69 |
 Nigar Sultanacaught · Charlie Dean · Linsey Smith0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Charlie Dean · b Linsey Smith | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sobhana Mostarylbw · Alice Capsey 8 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Alice Capsey | 60 | 108 | 8 | 0 | 55.56 |
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 0% to 33% during the match (England: 67% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Amy Jones · b Charlie Dean |
| 10 |
| 23 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 43.48 |
| Ritu Monicaught · Linsey Smith · Charlie Dean 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Linsey Smith · b Charlie Dean | 5 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 13.89 |
|---|
 Fahima Khatunbowled · Sophie Ecclestone0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sophie Ecclestone | 7 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 28.00 |
|---|
 Nahida Aktercaught · Charlie Dean · Sophie Ecclestone0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Charlie Dean · b Sophie Ecclestone | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
|---|
| Rabeya Khannot out 6 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 43* | 27 | 6 | 1 | 159.26 |
|---|
 Marufa Aktercaught · Lauren Bell · Alice Capsey0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lauren Bell · b Alice Capsey | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sanjida Akter Meghlacaught · Nat Sciver-Brunt · Linsey Smith 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nat Sciver-Brunt · b Linsey Smith | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 15 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lauren Bell1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 4.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Linsey Smith1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.4 | 1 | 33 | 2 | 3.41 | 1 | 0 |
 Nat Sciver-Brunt0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 6.40 | 1 | 0 |
 Sophie Ecclestone3 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 3 | 24 | 3 | 2.40 | 4 | 0 |
 Charlie Dean2 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 28 | 2 | 2.80 | 4 | 0 |
 Alice Capsey1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 31 | 2 | 3.88 | 2 | 0 |
1-24 (Rubya Haider, 4.5) · 2-25 (Nigar Sultana, 5.3) · 3-59 (Sharmin Akhter, 15.3) · 4-85 (Shorna Akter, 22.1) · 5-108 (Ritu Moni, 33.2) · 6-121 (Fahima Khatun, 40.1) · 7-130 (Nahida Akter, 43.0) · 8-156 (Sobhana Mostary, 46.5) · 9-157 (Marufa Akter, 47.0) · 10-178 (Sanjida Akter Meghla, 49.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 24/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 25/2 |
| 7 | 0 | 25/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 26/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 31/2 |
| 10 | 0 | 31/2 |
| 11 | 14 | 45/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 50/2 |
| 13 | 1 | 51/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 56/2 |
| 15 | 3 | 59/2 |
| 16 | 0 | 59/3 |
| 17 | 7 | 66/3 |
| 18 | 3 | 69/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 75/3 |
| 20 | 1 | 76/3 |
| 21 | 7 | 83/3 |
| 22 | 2 | 85/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 87/4 |
| 24 | 1 | 88/4 |
| 25 | 0 | 88/4 |
| 26 | 0 | 88/4 |
| 27 | 1 | 89/4 |
| 28 | 1 | 90/4 |
| 29 | 2 | 92/4 |
| 30 | 0 | 92/4 |
| 31 | 11 | 103/4 |
| 32 | 3 | 106/4 |
| 33 | 2 | 108/4 |
| 34 | 1 | 109/5 |
| 35 | 5 | 114/5 |
| 36 | 0 | 114/5 |
| 37 | 1 | 115/5 |
| 38 | 2 | 117/5 |
| 39 | 1 | 118/5 |
| 40 | 3 | 121/5 |
| 41 | 0 | 121/6 |
| 42 | 5 | 126/6 |
| 43 | 4 | 130/7 |
| 44 | 10 | 140/7 |
| 45 | 5 | 145/7 |
| 46 | 8 | 153/7 |
| 47 | 4 | 157/9 |
| 48 | 5 | 162/9 |
| 49 | 5 | 167/9 |
| 50 | 11 | 178/10 |
Heather Knight: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sharmin Akhter: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fahima Khatun: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charlie Dean: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nigar Sultana: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Ecclestone: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nahida Akter: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marufa Akter: Press Information Department · Public domain
Sophia Dunkley: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nat Sciver-Brunt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tammy Beaumont: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alice Capsey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Bell: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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