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Women's T20 Quadrangular Series (in Namibia) · 2026 · Women
22 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 71%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 72% to 100% during the match (Tanzania: 0% to 28%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Mtaecaught · Kary Chan · M Wai Siu 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kary Chan · b M Wai Siu | 17 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 113.33 |
| NJ Piusstumped · Y Daswani · Kary Chan 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Y Daswani · b Kary Chan | 18 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 62.07 |
| PZ Kamunyacaught · Kary Chan · MBA Lamplough 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kary Chan · b MBA Lamplough | 22 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 91.67 |
| AS Qwelenot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 21* | 20 | 2 | 0 | 105.00 |
| HM Omaryrun out · MBA Lamplough, Ruchitha Venkatesh · Ruchitha Venkatesh 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · MBA Lamplough, Ruchitha Venkatesh | 18 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 138.46 |
| run out · Y Daswani, Iqra Sahar |
| 21 |
| 16 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 131.25 |
| A Mohamednot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iqra Sahar0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Kary Chan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| M Wai Siu1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 3 | 0 |
| M Bibi0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 2 | 2 |
| MBA Lamplough0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Ruchitha Venkatesh0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-21 (S Mtae, 3.4) · 2-55 (NJ Pius, 10.0) · 3-67 (PZ Kamunya, 11.5) · 4-94 (HM Omary, 15.0) · 5-124 (NN Saidi, 18.2)
Recorded target: 153 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 21/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 24/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 30/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 38/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 42/1 |
| 9 | 11 | 53/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 55/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 64/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 68/3 |
| 13 | 11 | 79/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 85/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 94/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 104/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 109/4 |
| 18 | 12 | 121/4 |
| 19 | 6 | 127/5 |
| 20 | 9 | 136/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.