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ACC Men's Premier Cup · 2024 · Men
12 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Kuwait started on 44%; Kuwait batted first.
Kuwait's chances ranged from 0% to 92% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 8% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravija Sandaruwancaught · Basil Hameed · Aayan Afzal Khan 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Basil Hameed · b Aayan Afzal Khan | 21 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Clinto Antocaught · Aayan Afzal Khan · Muhammad Farooq 4 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Aayan Afzal Khan · b Muhammad Farooq | 54 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 234.78 |
| Meet Bhavsarcaught · Waseem Muhammad · Basil Hameed 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Basil Hameed | 25 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 113.64 |
| Usman Patelcaught · T Suri · Ali Naseer 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · T Suri · b Ali Naseer | 27 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 112.50 |
| Bilal Tahircaught · Basil Hameed · Ali Naseer 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Basil Hameed · b Ali Naseer | 23 | 12 | 1 | 2 |
| 191.67 |
| Sayed Monibcaught · Waseem Muhammad · Basil Hameed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Basil Hameed | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Yasin Patellbw · Basil Hameed 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Basil Hameed | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Mohomad Aslamcaught · Vishnu Sukumaran · Ali Naseer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Vishnu Sukumaran · b Ali Naseer | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Nimish Lathiefnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Ilyas Ahmednot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Aayan Afzal Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Akif Raja0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 23.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Ali Naseer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Basil Hameed0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Muhammad Farooq0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 |
1-69 (Ravija Sandaruwan, 6.1) · 2-83 (Clinto Anto, 8.3) · 3-128 (Usman Patel, 14.3) · 4-136 (Meet Bhavsar, 15.1) · 5-144 (Sayed Monib, 15.5) · 6-144 (Yasin Patel, 16.0) · 7-166 (Bilal Tahir, 18.2) · 8-167 (Mohomad Aslam, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 21 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 35/0 |
| 5 | 23 | 58/0 |
| 6 | 11 | 69/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 72/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 82/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 90/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 99/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 104/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 109/2 |
| 13 | 9 | 118/2 |
| 14 | 10 | 128/2 |
| 15 | 8 | 136/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 144/6 |
| 17 | 11 | 155/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 162/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 169/8 |
| 20 | 9 | 178/8 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
