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Pakistan Women tour of South Africa · 2025/26 · Women
16 Feb 2026 · T20
Recorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 22%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 9% to 100% during the match (South Africa: 1% to 91%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tazmin Britscaught · Muneeba Ali · Fatima Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muneeba Ali · b Fatima Sana | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Lara Goodallcaught · Tasmia Rubab · Sadia Iqbal 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tasmia Rubab · b Sadia Iqbal | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 137.50 |
 Laura Wolvaardtcaught · Natalia Pervaiz · Fatima Sana2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Natalia Pervaiz · b Fatima Sana | 11 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Dane van Niekerkcaught · Muneeba Ali · Sadia Iqbal0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muneeba Ali · b Sadia Iqbal | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · Aliya Riaz · b Ayesha Zafar |
| 27 |
| 30 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 90.00 |
| Annerie Dercksenrun out · Nashra Sandhu · Nashra Sandhu 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Nashra Sandhu | 30 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 78.95 |
|---|
| Karabo Mesonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Masabata Klaasrun out · Natalia Pervaiz · Ayesha Zafar 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Natalia Pervaiz | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Ayabonga Khakarun out · Fatima Sana · Sadia Iqbal0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Fatima Sana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Nonkululeko Mlabacaught · Aliya Riaz · Sadia Iqbal0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aliya Riaz · b Sadia Iqbal | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Sana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Tasmia Rubab0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Sadia Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 4.70 | 0 | 0 |
| Nashra Sandhu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Tuba Hassan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Ayesha Zafar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Tazmin Brits, 0.3) · 2-26 (Lara Goodall, 3.2) · 3-26 (Dane van Niekerk, 3.4) · 4-30 (Laura Wolvaardt, 4.1) · 5-85 (Annerie Dercksen, 15.0) · 6-86 (Nadine de Klerk, 15.2) · 7-88 (Masabata Klaas, 16.0) · 8-89 (Ayabonga Khaka, 16.1) · 9-91 (Nonkululeko Mlaba, 16.5)
Absent hurt: M Kapp
Recorded target: 145 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 15 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 30/3 |
| 5 | 1 | 31/4 |
| 6 | 5 | 36/4 |
| 7 | 5 | 41/4 |
| 8 | 9 | 50/4 |
| 9 | 2 | 52/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 56/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 59/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 66/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 72/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 79/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 85/5 |
| 16 | 3 | 88/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 91/9 |
Ayabonga Khaka: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marizanne Kapp: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nonkululeko Mlaba: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dane van Niekerk: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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