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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
7 Jul 2024 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Glamorgan started on 40%; Glamorgan batted first.
Glamorgan's chances ranged from 20% to 100% during the match (Essex: 0% to 80%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Rossingtoncaught and bowled · Marnus Labuschagne4 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Marnus Labuschagne | 41 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 132.26 |
 Dean Elgarlbw · Timm van der Gugten1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Timm van der Gugten | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Michael-Kyle Pepperbowled · Timm van der Gugten 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Timm van der Gugten | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
 Robin Dascaught · Chris Cooke · Timm van der Gugten1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Cooke · b Timm van der Gugten | 6 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 200.00 |
| Paul Waltercaught · Kiran Carlson · Daniel Douthwaite 6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Kiran Carlson · b Daniel Douthwaite | 53 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 160.61 |
|---|
 Matthew Critchleycaught · William Smale · Mason Crane0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · William Smale · b Mason Crane | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| CWJ Allisonstumped · Chris Cooke · Mason Crane 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Chris Cooke · b Mason Crane | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Simon Harmercaught · Tom Bevan · Marnus Labuschagne0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Bevan · b Marnus Labuschagne | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Luc Benkensteincaught · Tom Bevan · Marnus Labuschagne 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Bevan · b Marnus Labuschagne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Ben Allisonbowled · Chris Sole0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Chris Sole | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 113.33 |
|---|
 Aaron Beardnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Timm van der Gugten0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| BI Kellaway0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Sole0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 13.76 | 0 | 2 |
 Mason Crane0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Marnus Labuschagne0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 3 | 0 |
1-5 (Dean Elgar, 1.0) · 2-21 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 2.1) · 3-27 (Robin Das, 2.4) · 4-110 (Paul Walter, 11.4) · 5-113 (Adam Rossington, 12.2) · 6-117 (Matthew Critchley, 13.2) · 7-118 (CWJ Allison, 13.4) · 8-129 (Simon Harmer, 15.0) · 9-141 (Luc Benkenstein, 16.5) · 10-156 (Ben Allison, 18.5)
Recorded target: 183 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 16 | 21/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 27/3 |
| 4 | 10 | 37/3 |
| 5 | 4 | 41/3 |
| 6 | 11 | 52/3 |
| 7 | 9 | 61/3 |
| 8 | 16 | 77/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 81/3 |
| 10 | 21 | 102/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 107/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 112/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 116/5 |
| 14 | 6 | 122/7 |
| 15 | 7 | 129/8 |
| 16 | 2 | 131/8 |
| 17 | 11 | 142/9 |
| 18 | 6 | 148/9 |
| 19 | 8 | 156/10 |
Aaron Beard: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Robin Das: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Allison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Tom Bevan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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