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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
7 Jul 2024 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Glamorgan started on 40%; Glamorgan batted first.
Glamorgan's chances ranged from 20% to 100% during the match (Essex: 0% to 80%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kiran Carlsoncaught · Adam Rossington · Ben Allison0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Adam Rossington · b Ben Allison | 11 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 91.67 |
| William Smalecaught · Robin Das · Simon Harmer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Robin Das · b Simon Harmer | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Tom Bevancaught · Adam Rossington · Matthew Critchley1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Adam Rossington · b Matthew Critchley | 23 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 121.05 |
 Marnus Labuschagnebowled · Matthew Critchley1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Matthew Critchley |
| 30 |
| 26 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 115.38 |
| Colin Ingramcaught · Aaron Beard · Ben Allison 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Aaron Beard · b Ben Allison | 47 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 167.86 |
|---|
 Chris Cookecaught · Ben Allison · Paul Walter2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ben Allison · b Paul Walter | 38 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 211.11 |
|---|
| BI Kellawaylbw · Ben Allison 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ben Allison | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 122.22 |
|---|
| Daniel Douthwaitenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Timm van der Gugtenbowled · Paul Walter2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Paul Walter | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 266.67 |
|---|
 Mason Cranenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aaron Beard0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Simon Harmer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Allison0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 52 | 3 | 13.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Paul Walter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew Critchley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Luc Benkenstein0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-11 (William Smale, 1.5) · 2-15 (Kiran Carlson, 2.5) · 3-64 (Tom Bevan, 8.1) · 4-87 (Marnus Labuschagne, 12.2) · 5-154 (Colin Ingram, 16.5) · 6-170 (BI Kellaway, 18.5) · 7-172 (Chris Cooke, 19.1) · 8-180 (Timm van der Gugten, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 15/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 19/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 26/2 |
| 6 | 17 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 50/2 |
| 8 | 14 | 64/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 67/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 70/3 |
| 11 | 13 | 83/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 87/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 89/4 |
| 14 | 17 | 106/4 |
| 15 | 12 | 118/4 |
| 16 | 13 | 131/4 |
| 17 | 25 | 156/5 |
| 18 | 9 | 165/5 |
| 19 | 7 | 172/6 |
| 20 | 10 | 182/8 |
Aaron Beard: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Robin Das: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Allison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Tom Bevan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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