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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
11 Jul 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Switzerland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Switzerland started on 66%; Switzerland batted first.
Switzerland's chances ranged from 33% to 100% during the match (Serbia: 0% to 67%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Iveticcaught · Ahmed Hassan · K Fletcher 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ahmed Hassan · b K Fletcher | 16 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 94.12 |
| Luka Woodscaught · Idrees Ul Haque · Ashwin Vinod 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Idrees Ul Haque · b Ashwin Vinod | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| A Dizijacaught · Ashwin Vinod · Faheem Nazir 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ashwin Vinod · b Faheem Nazir | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 115.38 |
| BM Peciccaught · Jai Sinh · Arjun Vinod 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jai Sinh · b Arjun Vinod | 8 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
| LA Dunbarcaught · Faheem Nazir · NK Aneesh Kumar 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Faheem Nazir · b NK Aneesh Kumar | 21 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 91.30 |
| caught · NK Aneesh Kumar · b Abdullah Rana |
| 9 |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 90.00 |
| N Zimonjiccaught · Jai Sinh · Abdullah Rana 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jai Sinh · b Abdullah Rana | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 111.11 |
|---|
| MV Pavloviccaught · Arjun Vinod · Ali Nayyer 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Arjun Vinod · b Ali Nayyer | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| P Nedeljkovicnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 11 | 2 | 0 | 127.27 |
|---|
| S Tosicbowled · Ali Nayyer 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ali Nayyer | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| AA Gajicbowled · Abdullah Rana 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Abdullah Rana | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Nayyer1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashwin Vinod0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Faheem Nazir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| K Fletcher0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| NK Aneesh Kumar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
| M Stanikzai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Arjun Vinod0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdullah Rana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Luka Woods, 1.1) · 2-29 (A Dizija, 4.5) · 3-31 (S Ivetic, 5.2) · 4-60 (BM Pecic, 11.0) · 5-62 (LA Dunbar, 11.4) · 6-80 (V Zimonjic, 14.1) · 7-81 (N Zimonjic, 14.4) · 8-101 (MV Pavlovic, 17.4) · 9-101 (S Tosic, 17.5) · 10-106 (AA Gajic, 19.0)
Recorded target: 147 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 19/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 29/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 37/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 42/3 |
| 8 | 8 | 50/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 54/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 56/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 60/4 |
| 12 | 10 | 70/5 |
| 13 | 8 | 78/5 |
| 14 | 2 | 80/5 |
| 15 | 2 | 82/7 |
| 16 | 6 | 88/7 |
| 17 | 10 | 98/7 |
| 18 | 4 | 102/9 |
| 19 | 4 | 106/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.