IrelandversusOman

14 Feb 2026 · T20

Sinhalese Sports Club Ground · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Ireland won by 96 runs

Ireland20.0 overs235/5 Oman18.0 overs139/10 Sinhalese Sports Club Ground ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Too close to call

50%Ireland50%Oman

Why

In the last 6 T20 internationals between these sides, Ireland won 4 and Oman won 2
On results in T20 internationals so far, Oman rate stronger than Ireland (1,524 vs 1,489 on our results rating)

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Ireland started on 47%; Ireland batted first.

Ireland’s chance of winning (%) · Oman is the rest

Ireland's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 60%).

Biggest swings

0.5: Shakeel Ahmed to TH Tector, TH Tector out. Oman up from 49% to 59%.
2.4: Shakeel Ahmed to GR Adair, GR Adair out. Oman up from 47% to 57%.
4.6: Shakeel Ahmed to HT Tector, HT Tector out. Oman up from 46% to 57%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Ireland235/5 Oman139/10

Innings 2

Oman

139/1018.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Oman batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Aamir Kaleemcaught · Matthew Humphreys · Barry McCarthy 5 fours · 2 sixes	caught · Matthew Humphreys · b Barry McCarthy	50	29	5	2	172.41
Jatinder Singhlbw · Matthew Humphreys 1 fours · 0 sixes	lbw · b Matthew Humphreys	7	5	1	0	140.00
AR Odedararun out · Harry Tector, Lorcan Tucker · Matthew Humphreys 0 fours · 0 sixes	run out · Harry Tector, Lorcan Tucker	1	2	0	0	50.00
Hammad Mirzarun out · Harry Tector, Curtis Campher · Matthew Humphreys 6 fours · 1 sixes	run out · Harry Tector, Curtis Campher	46	37	6	1	124.32
Vinayak Shuklacaught · Matthew Humphreys · George Dockrell 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Matthew Humphreys · b George Dockrell	0	2	0	0

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Matthew Humphreys0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	27	2	6.75	1
Mark Adair0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	36	0	12.00	1
Barry McCarthy0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	32	2	10.67	5
Gareth Delany0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	13	0	6.50	0
Joshua Little0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	16	3	4.00	1
Harry Tector0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	9	0	9.00	0
George Dockrell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	6	1	6.00	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	11	11/0
2	10	21/0
3	4	25/2
4	12	37/2
5	14	51/2
6	12	63/2
7	3	66/2
8	1	67/2
9	9	76/2
10	9	85/2
11	17	102/3
12	6	108/4
13	2	110/5
14	4	114/6
15	2	116/8
16	8	124/9
17	12	136/9
18	3	139/10

Bringing the game to you…

Help make cricket’s story more accurate.