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Namibia tour of Zimbabwe · 2025/26 · Men
16 Sept 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Zimbabwe more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 42%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 0% to 69% during the match (Zimbabwe: 31% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Frylinckbowled · Richard Ngarava 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Richard Ngarava | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 200.00 |
 Malan Krugercaught · Brad Evans · Sikandar Raza1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Brad Evans · b Sikandar Raza | 45 | 44 | 1 | 3 | 102.27 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatoncaught · Brad Evans · Tinotenda Maposa 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Brad Evans · b Tinotenda Maposa | 47 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 156.67 |
| Gerhard Erasmuscaught · Brian Bennett · Richard Ngarava 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Richard Ngarava | 37 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 148.00 |
| JJ Smitcaught · Tadiwanashe Marumani · Brad Evans 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Tadiwanashe Marumani · b Brad Evans |
| 4 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 57.14 |
| Ruben Trumpelmannnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| A Busing-Volschenkcaught · Brendan Taylor · Brad Evans 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brendan Taylor · b Brad Evans | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Zane Greennot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Masakadza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 11.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Richard Ngarava0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Brad Evans0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 8.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Tinotenda Maposa0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Sikandar Raza0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Ryan Burl0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Jan Frylinck, 4.0) · 2-98 (Malan Kruger, 11.5) · 3-130 (Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton, 15.5) · 4-164 (Gerhard Erasmus, 19.0) · 5-166 (JJ Smit, 19.3) · 6-168 (A Busing-Volschenk, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 16 | 22/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 42/1 |
| 7 | 13 | 55/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 65/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 70/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 79/1 |
| 11 | 13 | 92/1 |
| 12 | 7 | 99/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 103/2 |
| 14 | 9 | 112/2 |
| 15 | 14 | 126/2 |
| 16 | 6 | 132/3 |
| 17 | 11 | 143/3 |
| 18 | 13 | 156/3 |
| 19 | 8 | 164/4 |
| 20 | 5 | 169/6 |
Brendan Taylor: The Madras · CC BY-SA 3.0
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
