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Nordic T20 Cup · 2025 · Men
14 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sweden started on 48%; Sweden batted first.
Sweden's chances ranged from 15% to 100% during the match (Finland: 0% to 85%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VS Padhaallbw · Abdul Naser Baluch 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Abdul Naser Baluch | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
| Ghulam Abbas Buttlbw · Khalid Zahid 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Khalid Zahid | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| AK Mohanlbw · Abdul Naser Baluch 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Abdul Naser Baluch | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 63.64 |
| Faraaz Mehti Abbascaught · J Stanigze · Abdul Naser Baluch 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Stanigze · b Abdul Naser Baluch | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| A Pusthaybowled · Abdul Naser Baluch 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Abdul Naser Baluch | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| caught · A Mundra · b Khalid Zahid |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| NM Salonencaught · J Stanigze · A Dhabe 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Stanigze · b A Dhabe | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| PUKK Arachchigecaught · J Stanigze · Khalid Zahid 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Stanigze · b Khalid Zahid | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Amjad Shercaught · A Mundra · A Dhabe 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Mundra · b A Dhabe | 28 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Akhil Arjunannot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 24* | 19 | 2 | 0 | 126.32 |
|---|
| E Kucheycaught · Abdul Naser Baluch · Hamid Mahmood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdul Naser Baluch · b Hamid Mahmood | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Naser Baluch0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 3.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Khalid Zahid0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 3 | 0 |
| A Dhabe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Samiullah Rahmani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| J Stanigze0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Hamid Mahmood0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.57 | 2 | 0 |
1-6 (Ghulam Abbas Butt, 1.2) · 2-8 (VS Padhaal, 2.1) · 3-9 (Faraaz Mehti Abbas, 2.4) · 4-21 (AK Mohan, 5.0) · 5-23 (Jordan O'Brien, 6.0) · 6-23 (A Pusthay, 6.1) · 7-28 (PUKK Arachchige, 7.3) · 8-48 (NM Salonen, 10.3) · 9-83 (Amjad Sher, 17.1) · 10-90 (E Kuchey, 18.3)
Recorded target: 162 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 10/3 |
| 4 | 7 | 17/3 |
| 5 | 4 | 21/4 |
| 6 | 2 | 23/5 |
| 7 | 3 | 26/6 |
| 8 | 6 | 32/7 |
| 9 | 5 | 37/7 |
| 10 | 9 | 46/7 |
| 11 | 4 | 50/8 |
| 12 | 7 | 57/8 |
| 13 | 3 | 60/8 |
| 14 | 4 | 64/8 |
| 15 | 4 | 68/8 |
| 16 | 7 | 75/8 |
| 17 | 8 | 83/8 |
| 18 | 6 | 89/9 |
| 19 | 1 | 90/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.