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Photo: Jshecket
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2023/24 · Men
12 Jan 2024 · T20
Boland Park, Paarl · Venue photographRecorded result
Paarl Royals started on 46%; Paarl Royals batted first.
Paarl Royals's chances ranged from 25% to 100% during the match (Pretoria Capitals: 0% to 75%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Roybowled · James Neesham3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b James Neesham | 23 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 143.75 |
 Jos Buttlercaught · Colin Ingram · Daryn Dupavillon2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Colin Ingram · b Daryn Dupavillon | 14 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 87.50 |
| Wihan Lubbecaught · Senuran Muthusamy · Will Jacks 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Senuran Muthusamy · b Will Jacks | 11 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 78.57 |
 David Millerbowled · Corbin Bosch4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Corbin Bosch | 41 | 33 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 124.24 |
| Mitchell Van Buurencaught · Senuran Muthusamy · Eathan Bosch 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Senuran Muthusamy · b Eathan Bosch | 28 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Fabian Allencaught · James Neesham · Daryn Dupavillon 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Neesham · b Daryn Dupavillon | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Andile Phehlukwayonot out 4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 28* | 14 | 4 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Bjorn Fortuincaught · James Neesham · Corbin Bosch 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Neesham · b Corbin Bosch | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Lungi Ngidinot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eathan Bosch0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Daryn Dupavillon0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 2 | 1 |
| Corbin Bosch0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| James Neesham0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Will Jacks0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Adil Rashid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-42 (Jason Roy, 4.5) · 2-44 (Jos Buttler, 5.5) · 3-56 (Wihan Lubbe, 8.2) · 4-117 (Mitchell Van Buuren, 15.4) · 5-125 (Fabian Allen, 16.3) · 6-137 (David Miller, 18.0) · 7-155 (Bjorn Fortuin, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 19 | 28/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 39/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 43/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 44/2 |
| 7 | 1 | 45/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 50/2 |
| 9 | 12 | 62/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 69/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 75/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 87/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 96/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 105/3 |
| 15 | 10 | 115/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 120/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 129/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 137/6 |
| 19 | 15 | 152/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 160/7 |
Rilee Rossouw: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
David Miller: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adil Rashid: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Lungi Ngidi: Starc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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