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Photo: BBC Urdu
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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England tour of Pakistan · 2024/25 · Men
7 Oct 2024 · Test
Multan Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Abdullah Shafiquebowled · Chris Woakes0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chris Woakes | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Saim Ayubcaught · Ben Duckett · Brydon Carse 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Duckett · b Brydon Carse | 25 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 71.43 |
 Shan Masoodcaught · Zak Crawley · Gus Atkinson1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Gus Atkinson | 11 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
 Mohammad Babar Azamcaught · Jamie Smith · Gus Atkinson1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Jamie Smith · b Gus Atkinson |
| 5 |
| 15 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
 Saud Shakeelcaught · Jamie Smith · Jack Leach4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Jack Leach | 29 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 87.88 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwanbowled · Brydon Carse1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Brydon Carse | 10 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 52.63 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghalbw · Jack Leach 7 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jack Leach | 63 | 84 | 7 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Aamer Jamalnot out 5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 55* | 104 | 5 | 0 | 52.88 |
|---|
 Shaheen Afridicaught and bowled · Jack Leach1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jack Leach | 10 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
 Naseem Shahstumped · Jamie Smith · Jack Leach0 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Jamie Smith · b Jack Leach | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 1 | 41 | 1 | 3.42 | 0 | 0 |
| Gus Atkinson2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 2 | 46 | 2 | 3.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Shoaib Bashir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Brydon Carse1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 16.0 | 1 | 66 | 2 | 4.13 | 0 | 1 |
 Jack Leach1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.5 | 1 | 30 | 4 | 4.39 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Abdullah Shafique, 0.1) · 2-29 (Shan Masood, 8.0) · 3-41 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 12.0) · 4-41 (Saim Ayub, 12.1) · 5-59 (Mohammad Rizwan, 18.1) · 6-82 (Saud Shakeel, 24.2) · 7-191 (Salman Ali Agha, 48.4) · 8-214 (Shaheen Afridi, 54.2) · 9-220 (Naseem Shah, 54.5)
Absent hurt: Abrar Ahmed
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 23/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 23/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 27/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 29/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 36/2 |
| 10 | 0 | 36/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 37/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 41/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 47/4 |
| 14 | 2 | 49/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 52/4 |
| 16 | 0 | 52/4 |
| 17 | 3 | 55/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 59/4 |
| 19 | 0 | 59/5 |
| 20 | 5 | 64/5 |
| 21 | 3 | 67/5 |
| 22 | 5 | 72/5 |
| 23 | 4 | 76/5 |
| 24 | 2 | 78/5 |
| 25 | 4 | 82/6 |
| 26 | 5 | 87/6 |
| 27 | 15 | 102/6 |
| 28 | 4 | 106/6 |
| 29 | 3 | 109/6 |
| 30 | 6 | 115/6 |
| 31 | 5 | 120/6 |
| 32 | 8 | 128/6 |
| 33 | 8 | 136/6 |
| 34 | 2 | 138/6 |
| 35 | 9 | 147/6 |
| 36 | 1 | 148/6 |
| 37 | 4 | 152/6 |
| 38 | 2 | 154/6 |
| 39 | 2 | 156/6 |
| 40 | 5 | 161/6 |
| 41 | 1 | 162/6 |
| 42 | 7 | 169/6 |
| 43 | 1 | 170/6 |
| 44 | 4 | 174/6 |
| 45 | 4 | 178/6 |
| 46 | 5 | 183/6 |
| 47 | 2 | 185/6 |
| 48 | 4 | 189/6 |
| 49 | 2 | 191/7 |
| 50 | 9 | 200/7 |
| 51 | 2 | 202/7 |
| 52 | 6 | 208/7 |
| 53 | 0 | 208/7 |
| 54 | 6 | 214/7 |
| 55 | 6 | 220/9 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Leach: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Naseem Shah: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abrar Ahmed: Nazly Ahmed · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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