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Namibia T20 Tri-Series · 2024 · Men
30 Sept 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 29%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 30% to 100% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 0% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alishan Sharafucaught · Harmeet Singh · Jasdeep Singh5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harmeet Singh · b Jasdeep Singh | 21 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 175.00 |
| Waseem Muhammadcaught · A Desai · Nosthush Kenjige 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Desai · b Nosthush Kenjige | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Vishnu Sukumarancaught · Nitish Kumar · Abhishek Paradkar 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nitish Kumar · b Abhishek Paradkar | 36 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 163.64 |
| Asif Khancaught and bowled · Harmeet Singh 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Harmeet Singh | 16 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 94.12 |
| Syed Haiderbowled · Nosthush Kenjige0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b Nosthush Kenjige |
| 3 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 42.86 |
| Basil Hameednot out 3 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 44* | 26 | 3 | 2 | 169.23 |
|---|
| Ali Naseerbowled · Abhishek Paradkar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Abhishek Paradkar | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Aayan Afzal Khanbowled · Harmeet Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Harmeet Singh | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Muhammad Farooqcaught · Yasir Mohammad · Abhishek Paradkar 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Yasir Mohammad · b Abhishek Paradkar | 18 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 138.46 |
|---|
| Junaid Siddiquenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Desai0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 1 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| J Drysdale0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Nosthush Kenjige0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Harmeet Singh1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Abhishek Paradkar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Waseem Muhammad, 3.2) · 2-39 (Alishan Sharafu, 4.2) · 3-81 (Asif Khan, 9.3) · 4-89 (Vishnu Sukumaran, 11.0) · 5-91 (Syed Haider, 11.3) · 6-94 (Ali Naseer, 12.2) · 7-111 (Aayan Afzal Khan, 15.3) · 8-159 (Muhammad Farooq, 19.5)
Recorded target: 176 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 35/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 47/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 56/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 66/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 68/2 |
| 9 | 13 | 81/2 |
| 10 | 0 | 81/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 89/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 93/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 96/6 |
| 14 | 3 | 99/6 |
| 15 | 8 | 107/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 111/7 |
| 17 | 14 | 125/7 |
| 18 | 15 | 140/7 |
| 19 | 14 | 154/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 160/8 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
