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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Sri Lanka tour of England · 2024 · Men
21 Aug 2024 · Test
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kusal Mendis · b Asitha Fernando | 11 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 78.57 |
2 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Milan Priyanath | 34 | 54 | 2 | 1 | 62.96 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhananjaya de Silva · b Prabath Jayasuriya | 6 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 35.29 |
| not out |
| 62* |
| 128 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 48.44 |
3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Prabath Jayasuriya | 32 | 68 | 3 | 0 | 47.06 |
|---|
4 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Asitha Fernando | 39 | 48 | 4 | 1 | 81.25 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 18 | 1 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 5 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 5.75 | 5 | 0 | |
| Asitha Fernando1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 2.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Prabath Jayasuriya4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 25.2 | 4 | 98 | 2 | 3.87 | 0 | 0 |
| Milan Priyanath0 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 12.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 2.58 | 0 | 3 |
1-34 (Ben Duckett, 5.4) · 2-56 (Ollie Pope, 12.5) · 3-70 (Daniel Lawrence, 15.3) · 4-119 (Harry Brook, 35.0) · 5-183 (Jamie Smith, 50.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 21/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 33/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 34/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 39/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 41/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 45/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 48/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 49/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 51/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 57/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 62/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 67/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 71/3 |
| 17 | 0 | 71/3 |
| 18 | 4 | 75/3 |
| 19 | 1 | 76/3 |
| 20 | 2 | 78/3 |
| 21 | 2 | 80/3 |
| 22 | 2 | 82/3 |
| 23 | 1 | 83/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 87/3 |
| 25 | 0 | 87/3 |
| 26 | 2 | 89/3 |
| 27 | 8 | 97/3 |
| 28 | 1 | 98/3 |
| 29 | 6 | 104/3 |
| 30 | 7 | 111/3 |
| 31 | 2 | 113/3 |
| 32 | 3 | 116/3 |
| 33 | 0 | 116/3 |
| 34 | 1 | 117/3 |
| 35 | 2 | 119/4 |
| 36 | 1 | 120/4 |
| 37 | 1 | 121/4 |
| 38 | 2 | 123/4 |
| 39 | 4 | 127/4 |
| 40 | 6 | 133/4 |
| 41 | 0 | 133/4 |
| 42 | 1 | 134/4 |
| 43 | 3 | 137/4 |
| 44 | 2 | 139/4 |
| 45 | 9 | 148/4 |
| 46 | 5 | 153/4 |
| 47 | 14 | 167/4 |
| 48 | 5 | 172/4 |
| 49 | 2 | 174/4 |
| 50 | 8 | 182/4 |
| 51 | 3 | 185/5 |
| 52 | 1 | 186/5 |
| 53 | 5 | 191/5 |
| 54 | 3 | 194/5 |
| 55 | 1 | 195/5 |
| 56 | 4 | 199/5 |
| 57 | 2 | 201/5 |
| 58 | 4 | 205/5 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Angelo Mathews: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Vishwa Fernando: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mark Wood: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dinesh Chandimal: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dimuth Karunaratne: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.