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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
13 Jul 2025 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
Yorkshire started on 57%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 0% to 58% during the match (Derbyshire: 42% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 fours · 1 sixes | caught · James Wharton · b Dan Moriarty | 54 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 180.00 |
| Caleb Jewellnot out 3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 41* | 34 | 3 | 1 | 120.59 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdullah Shafique · b Dan Moriarty | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
6 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 51* | 28 | 6 | 3 | 182.14 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 18.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| JA Chohan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 12.27 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-78 (Aneurin Donald, 7.3) · 2-84 (Harry Came, 9.2)
Recorded target: 152 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 18 | 34/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 46/0 |
| 5 | 19 | 65/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 71/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 76/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 80/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 84/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 87/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 94/2 |
| 12 | 12 | 106/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 110/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 118/2 |
| 15 | 20 | 138/2 |
| 16 | 10 | 148/2 |
| 17 | 9 | 157/2 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dan Moriarty: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Harry Came: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.