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Photo: Mtaylor848
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Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
13 Jul 2025 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
Yorkshire started on 57%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 0% to 58% during the match (Derbyshire: 42% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jonny Bairstowbowled · Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Dawid Malancaught · Wayne Madsen · Ben Aitchison0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wayne Madsen · b Ben Aitchison | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
 William Luxtoncaught · Caleb Jewell · Ben Aitchison1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Caleb Jewell · b Ben Aitchison | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
 Abdullah Shafique |
| caught · Harry Came · b Zak Chappell |
| 26 |
| 22 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 118.18 |
| James Whartoncaught · Samit Patel · Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Samit Patel · b Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Dominic Besscaught · Patrick Brown · Ben Aitchison4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Patrick Brown · b Ben Aitchison | 53 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 143.24 |
|---|
 Will Sutherlandcaught · Ross Whiteley · Zak Chappell0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ross Whiteley · b Zak Chappell | 18 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 120.00 |
|---|
 Jordan Thompsoncaught · Aneurin Donald · Ben Aitchison2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Aneurin Donald · b Ben Aitchison | 17 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 130.77 |
|---|
 Matt Milnesnot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 8 | 3 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| JA Chohancaught · Caleb Jewell · Ben Aitchison 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Caleb Jewell · b Ben Aitchison | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Dan Moriartynot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Ben Aitchison0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 5 | 7.25 | 4 | 0 |
 Samit Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Zak Chappell0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Patrick Brown0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Martin Andersson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Jonny Bairstow, 0.5) · 2-7 (William Luxton, 1.4) · 3-10 (Dawid Malan, 3.1) · 4-17 (James Wharton, 5.0) · 5-53 (Abdullah Shafique, 9.4) · 6-97 (Will Sutherland, 15.1) · 7-131 (Jordan Thompson, 18.1) · 8-132 (Dominic Bess, 18.3) · 9-132 (JA Chohan, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 8/2 |
| 3 | 2 | 10/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 17/3 |
| 5 | 0 | 17/4 |
| 6 | 11 | 28/4 |
| 7 | 9 | 37/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 41/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 50/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 55/5 |
| 11 | 4 | 59/5 |
| 12 | 6 | 65/5 |
| 13 | 8 | 73/5 |
| 14 | 10 | 83/5 |
| 15 | 14 | 97/5 |
| 16 | 12 | 109/6 |
| 17 | 3 | 112/6 |
| 18 | 19 | 131/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 135/9 |
| 20 | 16 | 151/9 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dan Moriarty: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Harry Came: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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