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Photo: Charles from Sandton, South Africa
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2025/26 · Men
23 Jan 2026 · T20
Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg · Venue photographRecorded result
Paarl Royals started on 48%; Paarl Royals batted first.
Paarl Royals's chances ranged from 0% to 48% during the match (Sunrisers Eastern Cape: 52% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Quinton de Kockbowled · Bjorn Fortuin3 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Bjorn Fortuin | 25 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 208.33 |
 Jonny Bairstowlbw · Bjorn Fortuin1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Bjorn Fortuin | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
| Jordan Hermanncaught · Daniel Lawrence · Ottniel Baartman 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Lawrence · b Ottniel Baartman | 17 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 94.44 |
| Matthew Breetzkenot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 19* | 18 | 2 | 0 | 105.56 |
| James Coles |
| not out |
| 45* |
| 19 |
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 236.84 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bjorn Fortuin0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Hardus Viljoen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Sikandar Raza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ottniel Baartman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Tribe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Daniel Lawrence0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 21.00 | 5 | 0 |
| LG Pretorius0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 16.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-30 (Quinton de Kock, 2.2) · 2-31 (Jonny Bairstow, 3.0) · 3-50 (Jordan Hermann, 5.5)
Recorded target: 115 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 16 | 29/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 31/2 |
| 4 | 8 | 39/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 45/2 |
| 6 | 11 | 56/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 61/3 |
| 8 | 10 | 71/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 76/3 |
| 10 | 21 | 97/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 106/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 117/3 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Quinton de Kock: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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