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Photo: CAPTAIN RAJU
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Sri Lanka tour of Bangladesh · 2023/24 · Men
30 Mar 2024 · Test
Chittagong Divisional Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Sri Lanka more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nishan Madushkacaught · Mehedi Hasan · Hasan Mahmud 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mehedi Hasan · b Hasan Mahmud | 34 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 75.56 |
 Dimuth Karunaratnebowled · Hasan Mahmud1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Mahmud | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Kusal Mendisbowled · Khaled Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Khaled Ahmed | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Angelo Mathewsbowled · Shakib Al Hasan5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled |
| 56 |
| 74 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 75.68 |
 Dinesh Chandimalcaught · Shahadat Hossain · Hasan Mahmud2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shahadat Hossain · b Hasan Mahmud | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
| Dhananjaya de Silvacaught · Litton Das · Hasan Mahmud 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Hasan Mahmud | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Kamindu Mendiscaught · Litton Das · Khaled Ahmed 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Khaled Ahmed | 9 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 52.94 |
|---|
| Prabath Jayasuriyanot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 28* | 67 | 2 | 0 | 41.79 |
|---|
 Vishwa Fernandonot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 16 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khaled Ahmed2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 2 | 34 | 2 | 3.09 | 0 | 0 |
 Hasan Mahmud2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 2 | 65 | 4 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Shakib Al Hasan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 3.90 | 0 | 0 |
 Taijul Islam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Dimuth Karunaratne, 1.5) · 2-15 (Kusal Mendis, 2.5) · 3-60 (Nishan Madushka, 12.5) · 4-72 (Dinesh Chandimal, 14.4) · 5-78 (Dhananjaya de Silva, 16.3) · 6-89 (Kamindu Mendis, 20.0) · 7-132 (Angelo Mathews, 35.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 15/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 19/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 23/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 30/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 34/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 35/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 39/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 45/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 52/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 54/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 60/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 67/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 72/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 77/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 82/5 |
| 18 | 1 | 83/5 |
| 19 | 6 | 89/5 |
| 20 | 0 | 89/6 |
| 21 | 6 | 95/6 |
| 22 | 0 | 95/6 |
| 23 | 5 | 100/6 |
| 24 | 1 | 101/6 |
| 25 | 1 | 102/6 |
| 26 | 1 | 103/6 |
| 27 | 3 | 106/6 |
| 28 | 4 | 110/6 |
| 29 | 0 | 110/6 |
| 30 | 4 | 114/6 |
| 31 | 4 | 118/6 |
| 32 | 2 | 120/6 |
| 33 | 5 | 125/6 |
| 34 | 4 | 129/6 |
| 35 | 2 | 131/6 |
| 36 | 1 | 132/7 |
| 37 | 5 | 137/7 |
| 38 | 5 | 142/7 |
| 39 | 8 | 150/7 |
| 40 | 7 | 157/7 |
Angelo Mathews: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Khaled Ahmed: Press Information Department · Public domain
Vishwa Fernando: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Shakib Al Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zakir Hasan: Press Information Department · Public domain
Dinesh Chandimal: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dimuth Karunaratne: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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