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Photo: Ovalise
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
17 Jan 2025 · T20
McLean Park, Napier · Venue photographRecorded result
Central Districts started on 52%; Central Districts batted first.
Central Districts's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Canterbury: 0% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Lathamcaught · Jayden Lennox · Brett Randell0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jayden Lennox · b Brett Randell | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Chad Bowesbowled · TA Findlay 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b TA Findlay | 12 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 63.16 |
| Matt Boylecaught · Jack Boyle · Blair Tickner 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Boyle · b Blair Tickner | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 118.18 |
| Cole McConchiecaught · Dane Cleaver · Josh Clarkson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dane Cleaver · b Josh Clarkson | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Mitchell Haybowled · Blair Tickner 2 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Blair Tickner |
| 35 |
| 14 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 250.00 |
| Michael Ripponcaught · Jayden Lennox · Brett Randell 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jayden Lennox · b Brett Randell | 38 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 172.73 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkescaught · Dane Cleaver · Blair Tickner 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dane Cleaver · b Blair Tickner | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Henry Shipleycaught · Brett Randell · Blair Tickner 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brett Randell · b Blair Tickner | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Kyle Jamiesonnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
 Ish Sodhinot out0 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 20* | 9 | 0 | 3 | 222.22 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AR Schaw0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Brett Randell0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| TA Findlay0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Tom Bruce0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Lennox0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Josh Clarkson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Blair Tickner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-16 (Tom Latham, 3.3) · 2-21 (Chad Bowes, 5.0) · 3-54 (Cole McConchie, 8.2) · 4-70 (Matt Boyle, 10.2) · 5-110 (Mitchell Hay, 13.2) · 6-138 (Michael Rippon, 16.3) · 7-142 (Zakary Foulkes, 17.1) · 8-143 (Henry Shipley, 17.4)
Recorded target: 191 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 13/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 18/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 21/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 29/2 |
| 7 | 12 | 41/2 |
| 8 | 12 | 53/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 59/3 |
| 10 | 11 | 70/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 79/4 |
| 12 | 15 | 94/4 |
| 13 | 10 | 104/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 112/5 |
| 15 | 13 | 125/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 132/5 |
| 17 | 10 | 142/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 148/8 |
| 19 | 11 | 159/8 |
| 20 | 16 | 175/8 |
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Blair Tickner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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