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Photo: Joe.Bekker at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2023/24 · Men
13 Jan 2024 · T20
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 53%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 0% to 67% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 33% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shaun Marshnot out10 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 64* | 49 | 10 | 0 | 130.61 |
 Aaron Finchcaught · Glenn Maxwell · Joel Paris0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Maxwell · b Joel Paris | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Jake Fraser-McGurkcaught · Peter Handscomb · Nathan Coulter-Nile 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Peter Handscomb · b Nathan Coulter-Nile | 42 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 135.48 |
| Jordan Coxcaught · Hilton Cartwright · Nathan Coulter-Nile 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hilton Cartwright · b Nathan Coulter-Nile | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
| caught · Tom Rogers · b Scott Boland |
| 10 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 200.00 |
| Jonathan Wellsnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 15 | 1 | 0 | 93.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Paris0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 0 | 1 |
 Scott Boland0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 8.10 | 0 | 0 |
 Imad Wasim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Coulter-Nile0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Marcus Stoinis0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Glenn Maxwell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Beau Webster0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (Aaron Finch, 2.1) · 2-78 (Jake Fraser-McGurk, 10.2) · 3-82 (Jordan Cox, 10.4) · 4-93 (Will Sutherland, 11.5)
Recorded target: 138 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 37/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 38/1 |
| 8 | 14 | 52/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 58/1 |
| 10 | 16 | 74/1 |
| 11 | 8 | 82/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 93/4 |
| 13 | 12 | 105/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 112/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 118/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 124/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 134/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 139/4 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Richardson: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Aaron Finch: Supun47 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Peter Handscomb: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shaun Marsh: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Scott Boland: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Imad Wasim: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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