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Photo: Joe.Bekker at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2023/24 · Men
13 Jan 2024 · T20
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 53%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 0% to 67% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 33% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Rogerscaught · Fergus O'Neill · Kane Richardson 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fergus O'Neill · b Kane Richardson | 23 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 135.29 |
 Daniel Lawrencelbw · Tom Rogers2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tom Rogers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 160.00 |
 Beau Webstercaught · Kane Richardson · Akeal Hosein3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kane Richardson · b Akeal Hosein | 29 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 85.29 |
 Glenn Maxwellcaught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · Kane Richardson1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jake Fraser-McGurk |
| 20 |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 200.00 |
 Marcus Stoinisbowled · Akeal Hosein0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Akeal Hosein | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Hilton Cartwrightcaught · MW Harvey · Fergus O'Neill 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · MW Harvey · b Fergus O'Neill | 38 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 126.67 |
|---|
 Imad Wasimcaught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · Adam Zampa1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · b Adam Zampa | 14 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Peter Handscombnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Coulter-Nilerun out · Jordan Cox, Fergus O'Neill · Fergus O'Neill 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jordan Cox, Fergus O'Neill | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fergus O'Neill0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Akeal Hosein0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Kane Richardson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-21 (Daniel Lawrence, 2.1) · 2-37 (Tom Rogers, 5.1) · 3-61 (Glenn Maxwell, 7.1) · 4-64 (Marcus Stoinis, 8.4) · 5-95 (Beau Webster, 14.1) · 6-122 (Imad Wasim, 18.0) · 7-137 (Hilton Cartwright, 19.5) · 8-137 (Nathan Coulter-Nile, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 21/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 42/2 |
| 7 | 19 | 61/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 62/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 64/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 73/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 76/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 82/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 86/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 95/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 100/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 107/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 114/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 122/6 |
| 19 | 6 | 128/6 |
| 20 | 9 | 137/8 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Richardson: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Aaron Finch: Supun47 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Peter Handscomb: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shaun Marsh: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Scott Boland: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Imad Wasim: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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