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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024/25 · Men
10 Feb 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 37%; Namibia batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jatinder Singhbowled · Bernard Scholtz 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Bernard Scholtz | 25 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 69.44 |
| Aamir Kaleemcaught · Gerhard Erasmus · Ruben Trumpelmann 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gerhard Erasmus · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 15 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 83.33 |
| AR Odedaralbw · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton | 11 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 30.56 |
| Wasim Alilbw · Bernard Scholtz 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Bernard Scholtz | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Hashir Dafedarbowled · Gerhard Erasmus 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gerhard Erasmus | 15 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 75.00 |
Namibia's chances ranged from 12% to 98% during the match (Oman: 2% to 88%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · b Gerhard Erasmus |
| 11 |
| 26 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 42.31 |
| Vinayak Shuklacaught · Ruben Trumpelmann · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ruben Trumpelmann · b Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton | 17 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 58.62 |
|---|
| Jay Odedrabowled · JJ Smit 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b JJ Smit | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Samay Shrivastavacaught · Zane Green · Ruben Trumpelmann 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zane Green · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Hassnain Shahnot out 0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 16* | 17 | 0 | 2 | 94.12 |
|---|
| Shakeel Ahmedcaught · Zane Green · JJ Smit 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zane Green · b JJ Smit | 13 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 72.22 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 8 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Smit1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.2 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Gerhard Erasmus0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Ruben Trumpelmann0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 4.57 | 5 | 0 |
| Bernard Scholtz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 2.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 18 | 2 | 3.60 | 0 | 0 |
| JC Balt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-30 (Aamir Kaleem, 5.3) · 2-58 (Jatinder Singh, 14.3) · 3-58 (Wasim Ali, 14.5) · 4-74 (AR Odedara, 17.1) · 5-80 (Hashir Dafedar, 20.1) · 6-99 (Sufyan Mehmood, 25.0) · 7-104 (Jay Odedra, 27.3) · 8-110 (Vinayak Shukla, 30.3) · 9-123 (Samay Shrivastava, 31.5) · 10-146 (Shakeel Ahmed, 37.2)
Recorded target: 170 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 26/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 31/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 32/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 35/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 36/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 42/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 46/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 52/1 |
| 13 | 1 | 53/1 |
| 14 | 4 | 57/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 58/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 66/3 |
| 17 | 8 | 74/3 |
| 18 | 4 | 78/4 |
| 19 | 1 | 79/4 |
| 20 | 1 | 80/4 |
| 21 | 1 | 81/5 |
| 22 | 1 | 82/5 |
| 23 | 6 | 88/5 |
| 24 | 1 | 89/5 |
| 25 | 10 | 99/6 |
| 26 | 3 | 102/6 |
| 27 | 2 | 104/6 |
| 28 | 0 | 104/7 |
| 29 | 3 | 107/7 |
| 30 | 1 | 108/7 |
| 31 | 10 | 118/8 |
| 32 | 6 | 124/9 |
| 33 | 3 | 127/9 |
| 34 | 8 | 135/9 |
| 35 | 10 | 145/9 |
| 36 | 1 | 146/9 |
| 37 | 0 | 146/9 |
| 38 | 0 | 146/10 |
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
