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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024/25 · Men
10 Feb 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 37%; Namibia batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Greenrun out · Wasim Ali · Sufyan Mehmood 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Wasim Ali | 21 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 46.67 |
| Jean-Pierre Kotzecaught · Hashir Dafedar · Sufyan Mehmood 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hashir Dafedar · b Sufyan Mehmood | 29 | 51 | 3 | 0 | 56.86 |
| Jan Frylinckcaught · Vinayak Shukla · Samay Shrivastava 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Vinayak Shukla · b Samay Shrivastava | 16 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 39.02 |
| Gerhard Erasmusbowled · Samay Shrivastava 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Samay Shrivastava | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
2 fours · 2 sixes |
Namibia's chances ranged from 12% to 98% during the match (Oman: 2% to 88%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 39 |
| 34 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 114.71 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatoncaught · Vinayak Shukla · Samay Shrivastava 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Vinayak Shukla · b Samay Shrivastava | 12 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 75.00 |
|---|
| JC Baltnot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 35* | 50 | 4 | 0 | 70.00 |
|---|
| JJ Smitcaught · Vinayak Shukla · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Vinayak Shukla · b Shakeel Ahmed | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 30.77 |
|---|
| Ruben Trumpelmanncaught · Jatinder Singh · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jatinder Singh · b Shakeel Ahmed | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Jan-Izak de Villiersbowled · Samay Shrivastava 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Samay Shrivastava | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 18.18 |
|---|
| Bernard Scholtzbowled · Sufyan Mehmood 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sufyan Mehmood | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Odedra1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 2.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Hassnain Shah0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Shakeel Ahmed1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 26 | 2 | 2.60 | 2 | 0 |
| Sufyan Mehmood3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.3 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Samay Shrivastava1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 56 | 4 | 5.60 | 3 | 0 |
| Aamir Kaleem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-30 (Zane Green, 11.3) · 2-62 (Jean-Pierre Kotze, 21.3) · 3-65 (Gerhard Erasmus, 22.5) · 4-74 (Jan Frylinck, 24.2) · 5-117 (Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton, 30.4) · 6-142 (Malan Kruger, 35.4) · 7-152 (JJ Smit, 40.0) · 8-160 (Ruben Trumpelmann, 41.4) · 9-165 (Jan-Izak de Villiers, 44.1) · 10-169 (Bernard Scholtz, 46.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 7/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 16/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 18/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 18/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 20/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 22/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 22/0 |
| 10 | 2 | 24/0 |
| 11 | 5 | 29/0 |
| 12 | 1 | 30/1 |
| 13 | 3 | 33/1 |
| 14 | 0 | 33/1 |
| 15 | 5 | 38/1 |
| 16 | 0 | 38/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 39/1 |
| 18 | 3 | 42/1 |
| 19 | 6 | 48/1 |
| 20 | 3 | 51/1 |
| 21 | 11 | 62/1 |
| 22 | 0 | 62/2 |
| 23 | 3 | 65/3 |
| 24 | 9 | 74/3 |
| 25 | 5 | 79/4 |
| 26 | 7 | 86/4 |
| 27 | 3 | 89/4 |
| 28 | 1 | 90/4 |
| 29 | 7 | 97/4 |
| 30 | 11 | 108/4 |
| 31 | 9 | 117/5 |
| 32 | 2 | 119/5 |
| 33 | 10 | 129/5 |
| 34 | 5 | 134/5 |
| 35 | 4 | 138/5 |
| 36 | 5 | 143/6 |
| 37 | 2 | 145/6 |
| 38 | 3 | 148/6 |
| 39 | 1 | 149/6 |
| 40 | 3 | 152/7 |
| 41 | 7 | 159/7 |
| 42 | 2 | 161/8 |
| 43 | 0 | 161/8 |
| 44 | 4 | 165/8 |
| 45 | 2 | 167/9 |
| 46 | 1 | 168/9 |
| 47 | 1 | 169/10 |
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.