ZimbabweversusNamibia

31 Aug 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Zimbabwe won by 5 runs

Zimbabwe20.0 overs195/6 Namibia20.0 overs190/10 Namibia Cricket Ground, Windhoek ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Namibia more likely to win

31%Zimbabwe69%Namibia

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Namibia rate stronger than Zimbabwe (1,626 vs 1,503 on our results rating)
Namibia are playing at home in Namibia
In the last 10 T20 internationals between these sides, Zimbabwe won 6 and Namibia won 4

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Zimbabwe started on 27%; Zimbabwe batted first.

Zimbabwe’s chance of winning (%) · Namibia is the rest

Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 18% to 100% during the match (Namibia: 0% to 82%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 19.1: B Evans to A Busing-Volschenk, 2 runs to A Busing-Volschenk. Namibia up from 15% to 34%.
2nd inns 19.3: B Evans to A Busing-Volschenk, four by A Busing-Volschenk. Namibia up from 24% to 48%.
2nd inns 19.4: B Evans to A Busing-Volschenk, A Busing-Volschenk out. Zimbabwe up from 52% to 72%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Zimbabwe195/6 Namibia190/10

Innings 2

Namibia

190/1020.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Namibia batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Louren Steenkampcaught · Wesley Madhevere · Blessing Muzarabani 1 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Wesley Madhevere · b Blessing Muzarabani	6	7	1	0	85.71
Jan Frylinckcaught · Ben Curran · Wellington Masakadza 2 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Ben Curran · b Wellington Masakadza	22	29	2	0	75.86
Gerhard Erasmuscaught · Brian Bennett · Brad Evans 2 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Brian Bennett · b Brad Evans	12	8	2	0	150.00
Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatonlbw · Brian Bennett 3 fours · 0 sixes	lbw · b Brian Bennett	20	13	3	0	153.85
JJ Smitcaught · Ryan Burl · Brian Bennett 0 fours · 1 sixes	caught · Ryan Burl · b Brian Bennett	6	2	0	1	300.00

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD	NB
Blessing Muzarabani0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls	4.0	39	1	9.75	2	1
Newman Nyamhuri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	37	0	9.25	0	0
Brad Evans0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls	4.0	41	3	10.25	0	1
Sikandar Raza0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	31	1	7.75	1	0
Wesley Madhevere0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	9	0	9.00	0	0
Brian Bennett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	8	2	8.00	0	0
Wellington Masakadza0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	25	1	12.50	1	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	2	2/0
2	7	9/0
3	6	15/1
4	11	26/1
5	7	33/2
6	1	34/2
7	8	42/2
8	9	51/2
9	9	60/2
10	8	68/4
11	8	76/5
12	1	77/6
13	17	94/6
14	10	104/6
15	14	118/6
16	13	131/6
17	14	145/6
18	18	163/6
19	17	180/6
20	10	190/10

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