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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A · 2026 · Men
20 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Cyprus more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Switzerland started on 42%; Switzerland batted first.
Switzerland's chances ranged from 30% to 100% during the match (Cyprus: 0% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R Mazumdercaught · Musa Khan Ahmadzai · Jai Sinh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Musa Khan Ahmadzai · b Jai Sinh | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| AA Sennlbw · Musa Khan Ahmadzai 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Musa Khan Ahmadzai | 32 | 47 | 3 | 0 | 68.09 |
| A Shahiretired out · Jai Sinh 1 fours · 0 sixes | retired out | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Adam Sennbowled · M Stanikzai 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Stanikzai | 26 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 152.94 |
| MPGT Ketiyagerun out · M Stanikzai · M Stanikzai 1 fours · 3 sixes | run out · M Stanikzai | 28 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 164.71 |
| Ruel Brathwaitecaught · M Stanikzai · Sheraz Sirwari0 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · M Stanikzai · b Sheraz Sirwari |
| 11 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 137.50 |
| Taranjit Singhcaught · Arjun Vinod · Sheraz Sirwari 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Arjun Vinod · b Sheraz Sirwari | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Karan Singhbowled · Musa Khan Ahmadzai 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Musa Khan Ahmadzai | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| S Tharanganot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Lovedeep Singhcaught · MK Gnanasekaram · Sheraz Sirwari 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MK Gnanasekaram · b Sheraz Sirwari | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Waqar Alicaught · Jai Sinh · Musa Khan Ahmadzai 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jai Sinh · b Musa Khan Ahmadzai | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 11 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheraz Sirwari0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 4 | 0 |
| Jai Sinh0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Diyon Johnson0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 3 | 0 |
| NK Aneesh Kumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| M Stanikzai0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Musa Khan Ahmadzai0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 2.21 | 1 | 0 |
1-3 (R Mazumder, 1.2) · 2-28 (A Shahi, 3.5) · 3-74 (Adam Senn, 11.0) · 4-107 (MPGT Ketiyage, 14.5) · 5-110 (AA Senn, 16.0) · 6-117 (Taranjit Singh, 17.0) · 7-118 (Karan Singh, 17.3) · 8-129 (Ruel Brathwaite, 18.3) · 9-129 (Lovedeep Singh, 18.5) · 10-130 (Waqar Ali, 19.1)
Recorded target: 156 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 32/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 38/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 42/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 45/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 55/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 63/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 69/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 74/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 83/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 86/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 89/3 |
| 15 | 18 | 107/4 |
| 16 | 3 | 110/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 117/6 |
| 18 | 3 | 120/7 |
| 19 | 10 | 130/9 |
| 20 | 0 | 130/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.