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Photo: Ovalise
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Women's Super Smash · 2024/25 · Women
15 Jan 2025 · T20
McLean Park, Napier · Venue photographRecorded result
Auckland started on 49%; Auckland batted first.
Auckland's chances ranged from 40% to 98% during the match (Central Districts: 2% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hollie Armitagecaught · S Shahri · AT Hucker2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Shahri · b AT Hucker | 10 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Kerry-Anne Tomlinsonrun out · Izzy Gaze, Bella Armstrong · P Catton 2 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Izzy Gaze, Bella Armstrong | 48 | 50 | 2 | 2 | 96.00 |
 Thamsyn Newtonlbw · P Catton1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b P Catton | 12 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Flora Devonshirestumped · Izzy Gaze · Fran Jonas 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Izzy Gaze · b Fran Jonas | 11 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 78.57 |
| caught · Maddy Green · b Bree Illing |
| 19 |
| 14 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 135.71 |
| Mikaela Greigbowled · Molly Penfold 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Molly Penfold | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| GK Atkinsoncaught · Izzy Gaze · Molly Penfold 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Izzy Gaze · b Molly Penfold | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| KJ Gagingnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 6 | 2 | 0 | 216.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AT Hucker0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Bree Illing0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Fran Jonas0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Molly Penfold0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 3 | 0 |
| P Catton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Brooke Halliday0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Maddy Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-22 (Hollie Armitage, 4.3) · 2-74 (Thamsyn Newton, 11.5) · 3-88 (Kerry-Anne Tomlinson, 14.3) · 4-95 (Flora Devonshire, 16.2) · 5-100 (Mikaela Greig, 17.2) · 6-104 (GK Atkinson, 17.5) · 7-130 (Hannah Rowe, 20.0)
Recorded target: 140 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 22/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 23/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 30/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 40/1 |
| 9 | 11 | 51/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 59/1 |
| 11 | 8 | 67/1 |
| 12 | 8 | 75/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 82/2 |
| 14 | 3 | 85/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 90/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 94/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 99/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 105/6 |
| 19 | 19 | 124/6 |
| 20 | 6 | 130/7 |
Maddy Green: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Thamsyn Newton: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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