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Photo: Electricmaster
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
4 Jan 2025 · T20
Melbourne Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Renegades started on 49%; Melbourne Renegades batted first.
Melbourne Renegades's chances ranged from 7% to 81% during the match (Melbourne Stars: 19% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Rogersbowled · Gurinder Sandhu 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gurinder Sandhu | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
 Ben Duckettcaught · Jacob Bethell · Gurinder Sandhu4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Jacob Bethell · b Gurinder Sandhu | 67 | 49 | 4 | 3 | 136.73 |
| Sam Harperrun out · Tim Seifert, Jacob Bethell · Gurinder Sandhu 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Tim Seifert, Jacob Bethell | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Daniel Lawrencecaught · Tim Seifert · Gurinder Sandhu0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tim Seifert · b Gurinder Sandhu | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| caught · Jacob Bethell · b Tom Rogers |
| 48 |
| 35 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 137.14 |
 Glenn Maxwellnot out0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 20* | 10 | 0 | 2 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Hilton Cartwrightnot out 1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 24* | 12 | 1 | 2 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 10.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Gurinder Sandhu0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 3 | 0 |
 Will Sutherland0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 9.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacob Bethell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Xavier Crone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Tom Rogers, 1.1) · 2-3 (Sam Harper, 1.3) · 3-41 (Daniel Lawrence, 5.2) · 4-124 (Ben Duckett, 15.4) · 5-127 (Marcus Stoinis, 16.1)
Recorded target: 169 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 5/2 |
| 3 | 12 | 17/2 |
| 4 | 15 | 32/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 39/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 45/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 51/3 |
| 8 | 12 | 63/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 73/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 81/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 90/3 |
| 12 | 10 | 100/3 |
| 13 | 12 | 112/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 116/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 120/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 127/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 137/5 |
| 18 | 10 | 147/5 |
| 19 | 12 | 159/5 |
| 20 | 12 | 171/5 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mark Steketee: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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