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Myanmar tour of Indonesia · 2024/25 · Men
17 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Indonesia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Indonesia started on 82%; Indonesia batted first.
Indonesia's chances ranged from 75% to 100% during the match (Myanmar: 0% to 25%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paing Danucaught · Danilson Hawoe · F Banunaek 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Danilson Hawoe · b F Banunaek | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Pyae Phyo Waicaught · Ketut Artawan · F Banunaek 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ketut Artawan · b F Banunaek | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Ko Ko Lin Thucaught · F Banunaek · AA Rahayu 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · F Banunaek · b AA Rahayu | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Swann Htet Ko Korun out · Ahmad Ramdoni, AA Rahayu · Ketut Artawan 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ahmad Ramdoni, AA Rahayu | 8 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 53.33 |
| Htet Lin Aungcaught · Anjar Tadarus · Kadek Gamantika 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anjar Tadarus · b Kadek Gamantika | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Khin Ayecaught · FFJ Heo · Kadek Gamantika 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · FFJ Heo · b Kadek Gamantika | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Thuya Aungcaught · F Banunaek · Danilson Hawoe 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · F Banunaek · b Danilson Hawoe | 17 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 89.47 |
|---|
| Aung Ko Kocaught · F Banunaek · Danilson Hawoe 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · F Banunaek · b Danilson Hawoe | 10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 58.82 |
|---|
| Nyein Cham Soecaught · Ahmad Ramdoni · Danilson Hawoe 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ahmad Ramdoni · b Danilson Hawoe | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Hein Zin Aungnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| SMHH Aungbowled · Danilson Hawoe 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Danilson Hawoe | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F Banunaek0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Danilson Hawoe0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 5.40 | 3 | 0 |
| AA Rahayu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Ketut Artawan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Kadek Gamantika0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Gede Arta0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (Pyae Phyo Wai, 2.3) · 2-16 (Paing Danu, 2.5) · 3-25 (Ko Ko Lin Thu, 4.5) · 4-32 (Swann Htet Ko Ko, 7.3) · 5-38 (Htet Lin Aung, 9.0) · 6-47 (Khin Aye, 11.0) · 7-70 (Thuya Aung, 15.2) · 8-70 (Nyein Cham Soe, 15.4) · 9-71 (Aung Ko Ko, 17.1) · 10-71 (SMHH Aung, 17.2)
Recorded target: 186 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 16/2 |
| 4 | 8 | 24/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 25/3 |
| 6 | 3 | 28/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 31/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 34/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 38/5 |
| 10 | 6 | 44/5 |
| 11 | 3 | 47/6 |
| 12 | 1 | 48/6 |
| 13 | 9 | 57/6 |
| 14 | 6 | 63/6 |
| 15 | 6 | 69/6 |
| 16 | 1 | 70/8 |
| 17 | 1 | 71/8 |
| 18 | 0 | 71/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.