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Women's East Asia Cup · 2024/25 · Women
12 Oct 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 73%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 73% to 100% during the match (South Korea: 0% to 27%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seri Changstumped · Hiu Ying Cheung · M Wai Siu 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Hiu Ying Cheung · b M Wai Siu | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Seungmin Songstumped · Hiu Ying Cheung · Emma Lai 3 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Hiu Ying Cheung · b Emma Lai | 21 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 63.64 |
| Kim Rangbowled · M Wai Siu 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Wai Siu | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sinae Kimlbw · Emma Lai 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Emma Lai | 13 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 43.33 |
| Jiyeon Parknot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 25 | 1 | 0 | 48.00 |
| Hyejin Parkcaught and bowled · M Wai Siu2 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught and bowled · b M Wai Siu |
| 13 |
| 14 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 92.86 |
| Lee Rarun out · M Wai Siu · M Wai Siu 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · M Wai Siu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Jiyeon Park (2)bowled · M Wai Siu 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Wai Siu | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Haliam Kwonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 12 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Wai Siu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 2.75 | 1 | 0 |
| M Bibi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Chan Ka Man0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Emma Lai0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Ruchitha Venkatesh0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Fatima Amir0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 3.67 | 3 | 0 |
1-1 (Seri Chang, 0.2) · 2-6 (Kim Rang, 2.3) · 3-42 (Seungmin Song, 11.1) · 4-49 (Sinae Kim, 13.1) · 5-65 (Hyejin Park, 17.2) · 6-68 (Lee Ra, 17.5) · 7-68 (Jiyeon Park (2), 18.0)
Recorded target: 147 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 6/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 7/2 |
| 4 | 1 | 8/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 13/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 15/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 22/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 28/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 29/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 35/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 42/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 44/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 49/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 53/4 |
| 15 | 1 | 54/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 58/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 63/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 68/7 |
| 19 | 4 | 72/7 |
| 20 | 4 | 76/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.