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South Africa tour of India · 2025/26 · Men
14 Nov 2025 · Test
Eden Gardens, Kolkata · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ryan Rickeltonlbw · Kuldeep Yadav1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kuldeep Yadav | 11 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 47.83 |
 Aiden Markramcaught · Dhruv Jurel · Ravindra Jadeja0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Ravindra Jadeja | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 17.39 |
 Wiaan Muldercaught · Rishabh Pant · Ravindra Jadeja1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Ravindra Jadeja | 11 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 36.67 |
| not out |
| 55* |
| 136 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 40.44 |
| Tony de Zorzicaught · Dhruv Jurel · Ravindra Jadeja 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Ravindra Jadeja | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Tristan Stubbsbowled · Ravindra Jadeja 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ravindra Jadeja | 5 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 27.78 |
|---|
| Kyle Verreynnebowled · Axar Patel 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Axar Patel | 9 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 56.25 |
|---|
 Marco Jansencaught · KL Rahul · Kuldeep Yadav0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · KL Rahul · b Kuldeep Yadav | 13 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 81.25 |
|---|
| Corbin Boschbowled · Jasprit Bumrah 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Jasprit Bumrah | 25 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 67.57 |
|---|
 Simon Harmerbowled · Mohammed Siraj0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammed Siraj | 7 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 35.00 |
|---|
 Keshav Maharajlbw · Mohammed Siraj0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammed Siraj | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 11 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jasprit Bumrah2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 2.40 | 0 | 0 |
 Axar Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 2.57 | 0 | 0 |
 Kuldeep Yadav1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 30 | 2 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravindra Jadeja3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 20.0 | 3 | 50 | 4 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Mohammed Siraj0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (Ryan Rickelton, 6.4) · 2-25 (Aiden Markram, 8.2) · 3-38 (Wiaan Mulder, 16.3) · 4-40 (Tony de Zorzi, 16.5) · 5-60 (Tristan Stubbs, 23.0) · 6-75 (Kyle Verreynne, 27.5) · 7-91 (Marco Jansen, 34.0) · 8-135 (Corbin Bosch, 47.1) · 9-153 (Simon Harmer, 53.3) · 10-153 (Keshav Maharaj, 54.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 14/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 15/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 16/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 19/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 25/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 25/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 26/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 27/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 28/2 |
| 13 | 2 | 30/2 |
| 14 | 1 | 31/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 38/2 |
| 16 | 0 | 38/2 |
| 17 | 2 | 40/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 46/4 |
| 19 | 5 | 51/4 |
| 20 | 1 | 52/4 |
| 21 | 2 | 54/4 |
| 22 | 6 | 60/4 |
| 23 | 0 | 60/5 |
| 24 | 3 | 63/5 |
| 25 | 3 | 66/5 |
| 26 | 2 | 68/5 |
| 27 | 0 | 68/5 |
| 28 | 7 | 75/6 |
| 29 | 2 | 77/6 |
| 30 | 7 | 84/6 |
| 31 | 3 | 87/6 |
| 32 | 2 | 89/6 |
| 33 | 2 | 91/6 |
| 34 | 0 | 91/7 |
| 35 | 2 | 93/7 |
| 36 | 3 | 96/7 |
| 37 | 2 | 98/7 |
| 38 | 1 | 99/7 |
| 39 | 5 | 104/7 |
| 40 | 2 | 106/7 |
| 41 | 3 | 109/7 |
| 42 | 8 | 117/7 |
| 43 | 3 | 120/7 |
| 44 | 3 | 123/7 |
| 45 | 8 | 131/7 |
| 46 | 0 | 131/7 |
| 47 | 4 | 135/7 |
| 48 | 1 | 136/8 |
| 49 | 2 | 138/8 |
| 50 | 6 | 144/8 |
| 51 | 4 | 148/8 |
| 52 | 2 | 150/8 |
| 53 | 2 | 152/8 |
| 54 | 1 | 153/10 |
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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