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Photo: Sachintha Wijayatunga
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Sri Lanka Women's ODI Tri-Series · 2025 · Women
11 May 2025 · ODI
R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 69%; India batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hasini Pererabowled · Amanjot Kaur0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Amanjot Kaur | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Vishmi Gunaratnebowled · Amanjot Kaur 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Amanjot Kaur | 36 | 41 | 5 | 0 | 87.80 |
 Chamari Atapattubowled · Sneh Rana6 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Sneh Rana | 51 | 66 | 6 | 1 | 77.27 |
 Nilakshi de Silvacaught · Harleen Deol · Sneh Rana5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harleen Deol · b Sneh Rana | 48 | 58 | 5 | 0 | 82.76 |
India's chances ranged from 69% to 100% during the match (Sri Lanka: 0% to 32%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
 Harshitha Madavicaught · Smriti Mandhana · Amanjot Kaur4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smriti Mandhana · b Amanjot Kaur | 26 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 81.25 |
|---|
| Dewmi Vihangacaught · Sneh Rana · Shree Charani 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sneh Rana · b Shree Charani | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Anushka Sanjeewanicaught · Amanjot Kaur · Sneh Rana2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amanjot Kaur · b Sneh Rana | 28 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 68.29 |
|---|
| Piumi Wathsalarun out · Richa Ghosh, Amanjot Kaur · Shree Charani 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Richa Ghosh, Amanjot Kaur | 9 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 69.23 |
|---|
 Sugandika Kumarirun out · Smriti Mandhana, Sneh Rana · Sneh Rana5 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Smriti Mandhana, Sneh Rana | 27 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 93.10 |
|---|
| Malki Madarabowled · Sneh Rana 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sneh Rana | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Inoka Ranaweeranot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 13 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanjot Kaur0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 54 | 3 | 6.75 | 4 | 0 |
| Kranti Goud0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 4.40 | 4 | 0 |
 Deepti Sharma0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 4.30 | 4 | 0 |
| Shree Charani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 55 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sneh Rana1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.2 | 1 | 38 | 4 | 4.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Pratika Rawal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 3.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Harleen Deol0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-0 (Hasini Perera, 0.3) · 2-68 (Vishmi Gunaratne, 13.5) · 3-121 (Chamari Atapattu, 23.2) · 4-173 (Harshitha Madavi, 32.5) · 5-178 (Dewmi Vihanga, 34.0) · 6-178 (Nilakshi de Silva, 34.2) · 7-192 (Piumi Wathsala, 37.4) · 8-243 (Sugandika Kumari, 46.3) · 9-244 (Malki Madara, 47.0) · 10-245 (Anushka Sanjeewani, 48.2)
Recorded target: 343 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 3/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 17/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 25/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 33/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 36/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 45/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 47/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 49/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 53/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 58/1 |
| 13 | 7 | 65/1 |
| 14 | 3 | 68/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 75/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 78/2 |
| 17 | 5 | 83/2 |
| 18 | 11 | 94/2 |
| 19 | 3 | 97/2 |
| 20 | 3 | 100/2 |
| 21 | 9 | 109/2 |
| 22 | 4 | 113/2 |
| 23 | 8 | 121/2 |
| 24 | 0 | 121/3 |
| 25 | 6 | 127/3 |
| 26 | 4 | 131/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 134/3 |
| 28 | 7 | 141/3 |
| 29 | 9 | 150/3 |
| 30 | 3 | 153/3 |
| 31 | 8 | 161/3 |
| 32 | 3 | 164/3 |
| 33 | 9 | 173/4 |
| 34 | 5 | 178/5 |
| 35 | 3 | 181/6 |
| 36 | 2 | 183/6 |
| 37 | 6 | 189/6 |
| 38 | 3 | 192/7 |
| 39 | 5 | 197/7 |
| 40 | 7 | 204/7 |
| 41 | 3 | 207/7 |
| 42 | 12 | 219/7 |
| 43 | 5 | 224/7 |
| 44 | 4 | 228/7 |
| 45 | 7 | 235/7 |
| 46 | 7 | 242/7 |
| 47 | 2 | 244/9 |
| 48 | 1 | 245/9 |
| 49 | 0 | 245/10 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chamari Atapattu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nilakshi de Silva: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Hasini Perera: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sugandika Kumari: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harshitha Madavi: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Anushka Sanjeewani: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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