**St George's Park, Gqeberha**
Photo: The original uploader was PaddyBriggs at English Wikipedia.
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.

SA20 · 2025/26 · Men

Sunrisers Eastern CapeversusJoburg Super Kings

14 Jan 2026 · T20

St George's Park, Gqeberha · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Eastern Cape won by 61 runs

Sunrisers Eastern Cape20.0 overs178/5 Joburg Super Kings18.1 overs117/10 St George's Park, Gqeberha ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Eastern Cape started on 56%; Sunrisers Eastern Cape batted first.

Sunrisers Eastern Cape’s chance of winning (%) · Joburg Super Kings is the rest

Sunrisers Eastern Cape's chances ranged from 51% to 100% during the match (Joburg Super Kings: 0% to 49%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 3.3: JM Coles to R Moonsamy, R Moonsamy out. Sunrisers Eastern Cape up from 52% to 64%.
2nd inns 8.3: S Muthusamy to D Forrester, D Forrester out. Sunrisers Eastern Cape up from 74% to 84%.
2nd inns 10.4: S Muthusamy to M De Villiers, M De Villiers out. Sunrisers Eastern Cape up from 78% to 87%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Eastern Cape178/5 Joburg Super Kings117/10

Innings 1