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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Americas Region Qualifier · 2024/25 · Women
17 Mar 2025 · T20
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 62%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 59% to 100% during the match (Canada: 0% to 41%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Pereracaught and bowled · Ritu Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Ritu Singh | 19 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 67.86 |
| Indomatie Goordialcaught · Ella Claridge · Tara Norris 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ella Claridge · b Tara Norris | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Amarpal Kaurstumped · Ella Claridge · AI Chudasama0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Ella Claridge · b AI Chudasama | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Habeeba Badercaught · Maahi Madhavan · Ritu Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Maahi Madhavan · b Ritu Singh | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Kainat Qazicaught · Maahi Madhavan · S Immadi 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Maahi Madhavan · b S Immadi |
| 3 |
| 18 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 16.67 |
| V Mahajancaught · D Dhingra · C Prasad 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Dhingra · b C Prasad | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 72.73 |
|---|
| TA Laviacaught · CR Pagydyala · Geetika Kodali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CR Pagydyala · b Geetika Kodali | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| T Thorpebowled · C Prasad 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b C Prasad | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| K Kapadianot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Rabbjyot Rajputbowled · C Prasad 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b C Prasad | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| M Hundalstumped · Ella Claridge · C Prasad 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Ella Claridge · b C Prasad | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tara Norris1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| AI Chudasama0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 6.46 | 1 | 0 |
| Ritu Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| S Immadi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Geetika Kodali1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
| C Prasad0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-12 (Indomatie Goordial, 2.2) · 2-13 (Amarpal Kaur, 3.2) · 3-20 (Habeeba Bader, 4.4) · 4-36 (Kainat Qazi, 10.0) · 5-38 (A Perera, 10.4) · 6-46 (TA Lavia, 12.4) · 7-48 (V Mahajan, 13.5) · 8-50 (T Thorpe, 14.1) · 9-53 (Rabbjyot Rajput, 16.0) · 10-53 (M Hundal, 16.1)
Recorded target: 132 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 12/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 19/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 20/3 |
| 6 | 8 | 28/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 29/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 31/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 35/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 37/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 43/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 46/5 |
| 13 | 0 | 46/6 |
| 14 | 4 | 50/8 |
| 15 | 2 | 52/8 |
| 16 | 1 | 53/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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