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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
5 Jul 2026 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Nottinghamshire started on 52%; Nottinghamshire batted first.
Nottinghamshire's chances ranged from 6% to 73% during the match (Durham: 27% to 94%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Munsey · b George Linde | 34 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 136.00 |
5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Liam Patterson-White | 43 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 122.86 |
| BS McKinneycaught · Jack Haynes · George Linde 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jack Haynes · b George Linde | 26 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 130.00 |
| David Bedinghamnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 26* | 21 | 0 | 1 | 123.81 |
| caught · George Linde · b Liam Patterson-White |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Amir · b Mohammad Ali | 17 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 170.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Moores · b Mohammad Amir | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Kasey Aldridgenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 9 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mohammad Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Freddie McCann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-64 (Graham Clark, 7.0) · 2-107 (Alex Lees, 12.3) · 3-113 (BS McKinney, 14.0) · 4-116 (Ben Raine, 14.4) · 5-143 (Ollie Robinson, 17.3) · 6-152 (Colin Ackermann, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 37/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 49/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 58/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 64/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 68/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 72/1 |
| 10 | 14 | 86/1 |
| 11 | 12 | 98/1 |
| 12 | 7 | 105/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 109/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 113/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 117/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 123/4 |
| 17 | 17 | 140/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 145/5 |
| 19 | 10 | 155/6 |
| 20 | 9 | 164/6 |
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Benny Howell: Evertonfc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.