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Photo: user:jguk
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Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
13 Jul 2025 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 46%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 46% to 100% during the match (Somerset: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smeedcaught · Reece Topley · Sam Curran 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Reece Topley · b Sam Curran | 19 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 135.71 |
| Tom Lammonbybowled · Reece Topley 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Reece Topley | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Tom Kohler-Cadmorecaught · Ben Foakes · Adam Zampa6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ben Foakes · b Adam Zampa | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 165.22 |
 Tom Abellcaught · Daniel Lawrence · Jamie Overton0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Lawrence · b Jamie Overton | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| caught and bowled · b Jamie Overton |
| 10 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 125.00 |
 Lewis Gregorycaught · Jason Roy · Sam Curran2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jason Roy · b Sam Curran | 23 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 153.33 |
|---|
| Ben Greencaught · Jason Roy · Adam Zampa 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Roy · b Adam Zampa | 11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 91.67 |
|---|
 Migael Pretoriuscaught · Will Jacks · Reece Topley0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Jacks · b Reece Topley | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Lewis Goldsworthycaught · Jamie Overton · Chris Jordan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Chris Jordan | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Riley Meredithcaught · Will Jacks · Reece Topley 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Jacks · b Reece Topley | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
 Jack Leachnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Reece Topley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 2 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 9.71 | 0 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-13 (Tom Lammonby, 2.3) · 2-53 (Will Smeed, 6.1) · 3-73 (Tom Kohler-Cadmore, 8.4) · 4-75 (Tom Abell, 9.1) · 5-90 (Sean Dickson, 11.4) · 6-119 (Lewis Gregory, 14.3) · 7-122 (Ben Green, 15.5) · 8-122 (Migael Pretorius, 16.1) · 9-124 (Riley Meredith, 17.0) · 10-134 (Lewis Goldsworthy, 19.3)
Recorded target: 202 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 21 | 38/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 44/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 53/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 61/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 65/2 |
| 9 | 10 | 75/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 79/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 87/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 92/5 |
| 13 | 10 | 102/5 |
| 14 | 10 | 112/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 121/6 |
| 16 | 1 | 122/7 |
| 17 | 2 | 124/9 |
| 18 | 2 | 126/9 |
| 19 | 7 | 133/9 |
| 20 | 1 | 134/10 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Jack Leach: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Foakes: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Migael Pretorius: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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