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Women's T20 Quadrangular Series (in Hong Kong) · 2024/25 · Women
7 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 50%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 1% to 54% during the match (Namibia: 46% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sune Wittmannrun out · Fatima Amir, Hiu Ying Cheung · Chan Ka Man 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Fatima Amir, Hiu Ying Cheung | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 54.55 |
| E Van Zyllbw · M Wai Siu 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b M Wai Siu | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Yasmeen Khancaught · Kary Chan · M Wai Siu 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kary Chan · b M Wai Siu | 12 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
| M Gorasescaught and bowled · Chan Ka Man 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Chan Ka Man | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Wilka Mwatilelbw · Ruchitha Venkatesh 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ruchitha Venkatesh | 11 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 47.83 |
| bowled · b Ruchitha Venkatesh |
| 8 |
| 19 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 42.11 |
| Kayleen Greennot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 20 | 2 | 0 | 90.00 |
|---|
| Irene van Zylnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 18 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Wai Siu1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kary Chan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.73 | 1 | 0 |
| Chan Ka Man0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| SYD Chan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Ruchitha Venkatesh0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 3.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Fatima Amir0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-5 (E Van Zyl, 1.0) · 2-21 (Yasmeen Khan, 4.3) · 3-24 (Sune Wittmann, 5.4) · 4-27 (M Gorases, 7.4) · 5-48 (Arrasta Diergaardt, 12.4) · 6-64 (Wilka Mwatile, 14.3)
Recorded target: 82 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 20/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 22/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 24/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 25/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 27/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 36/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 41/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 45/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 47/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 49/5 |
| 14 | 11 | 60/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 66/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 70/6 |
| 17 | 2 | 72/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 78/6 |
| 19 | 2 | 80/6 |
| 20 | 2 | 82/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.