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Women's T20 Quadrangular Series (in Hong Kong) · 2024/25 · Women
7 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 50%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 1% to 54% during the match (Namibia: 46% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanzeen Shahzadbowled · Wilka Mwatile 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Wilka Mwatile | 47 | 56 | 5 | 0 | 83.93 |
| Mariko Hillbowled · Sune Wittmann 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sune Wittmann | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
| Y Daswanilbw · Sune Wittmann 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sune Wittmann | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Kary Chancaught · Yasmeen Khan · S Tuhadeleni 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Yasmeen Khan · b S Tuhadeleni | 5 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22.73 |
| M Bibicaught · Kayleen Green · S Tuhadeleni 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kayleen Green · b S Tuhadeleni | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| stumped · M Gorases · b Kayleen Green |
| 4 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Fatima Amirrun out · Wilka Mwatile · Kayleen Green 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Wilka Mwatile | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| SYD Channot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Hiu Ying Cheungbowled · Arrasta Diergaardt 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Arrasta Diergaardt | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| M Wai Siunot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene van Zyl0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Sune Wittmann0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 3.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Wilka Mwatile0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 3.67 | 3 | 1 |
| Arrasta Diergaardt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| S Tuhadeleni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kayleen Green0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 2 | 0 |
1-17 (Mariko Hill, 3.5) · 2-17 (Y Daswani, 4.0) · 3-44 (Kary Chan, 11.4) · 4-50 (M Bibi, 13.3) · 5-64 (Ruchitha Venkatesh, 16.0) · 6-67 (Fatima Amir, 16.5) · 7-71 (Shanzeen Shahzad, 17.4) · 8-78 (Hiu Ying Cheung, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 17/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 18/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 20/2 |
| 7 | 11 | 31/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 37/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 39/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 41/2 |
| 11 | 2 | 43/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 46/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 50/3 |
| 14 | 1 | 51/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 57/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 63/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 68/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 72/7 |
| 19 | 7 | 79/8 |
| 20 | 2 | 81/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.