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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2024 · Women
27 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 46%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Vanuatu: 0% to 58%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Siegersbowled · Selina Solman 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Selina Solman | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Sterre Kalisbowled · Selina Solman 9 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Selina Solman | 70 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 137.25 |
| Babette de Leedecaught and bowled · N Navaika 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b N Navaika | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 112.50 |
| Robine Rijkecaught · R Andrew · N Navaika 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Andrew · b N Navaika | 13 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 76.47 |
| Iris Zwillingcaught · Selina Solman · R Andrew 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Selina Solman · b R Andrew | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
| run out · R Andrew, V Mansale |
| 7 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 70.00 |
| Eva Lynchnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 122.22 |
|---|
| Hannah Landheernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 14 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R Andrew0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 8 | 0 |
| V Vira0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Selina Solman0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 5 | 0 |
| V Mansale0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 2 |
| N Navaika0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
1-10 (Heather Siegers, 2.2) · 2-53 (Babette de Leede, 7.3) · 3-85 (Robine Rijke, 11.5) · 4-108 (Iris Zwilling, 14.1) · 5-132 (Sterre Kalis, 16.4) · 6-142 (Frederique Overdijk, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 33/1 |
| 6 | 16 | 49/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 53/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 54/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 59/2 |
| 10 | 10 | 69/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 74/2 |
| 12 | 13 | 87/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 91/3 |
| 14 | 12 | 103/3 |
| 15 | 17 | 120/4 |
| 16 | 2 | 122/4 |
| 17 | 13 | 135/5 |
| 18 | 5 | 140/5 |
| 19 | 6 | 146/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 154/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.