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Bangladesh tour of United Arab Emirates · 2025 · Men
19 May 2025 · T20
Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Bangladesh more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 50%; Bangladesh batted first.
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 19% to 95% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 5% to 81%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Zohaibcaught · Tanzid Hasan · Tanvir Islam 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Tanzid Hasan · b Tanvir Islam | 38 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 111.76 |
| Waseem Muhammadcaught · Jaker Ali · Shariful Islam 9 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Jaker Ali · b Shariful Islam | 82 | 42 | 9 | 5 | 195.24 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Nahid Rana · Rishad Hossain 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nahid Rana · b Rishad Hossain | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Asif Khancaught and bowled · Nahid Rana 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nahid Rana | 19 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 158.33 |
 Alishan Sharafucaught · Tawhid Hridoy · Shariful Islam2 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Tawhid Hridoy · b Shariful Islam |
| 13 |
| 9 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 144.44 |
| Saghir Khancaught · Tawhid Hridoy · Rishad Hossain 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tawhid Hridoy · b Rishad Hossain | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 266.67 |
|---|
| Aryansh Sharmacaught and bowled · Nahid Rana 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nahid Rana | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 175.00 |
|---|
| D Parasharbowled · Tanzim Hasan Sakib 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Tanzim Hasan Sakib | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 157.14 |
|---|
| Haider Alinot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 15* | 6 | 0 | 1 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Matiullah Khannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shariful Islam0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Tanvir Islam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Tanzim Hasan Sakib0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 55 | 1 | 14.35 | 1 | 1 |
 Nahid Rana0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 2 | 12.50 | 2 | 2 |
 Rishad Hossain0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-107 (Muhammad Zohaib, 10.1) · 2-110 (Rahul Chopra, 11.1) · 3-148 (Waseem Muhammad, 14.5) · 4-158 (Asif Khan, 15.5) · 5-170 (Saghir Khan, 16.5) · 6-177 (Aryansh Sharma, 17.3) · 7-177 (Alishan Sharafu, 18.1) · 8-202 (D Parashar, 19.3)
Recorded target: 206 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 38/0 |
| 5 | 18 | 56/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 68/0 |
| 7 | 10 | 78/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 82/0 |
| 9 | 14 | 96/0 |
| 10 | 11 | 107/0 |
| 11 | 3 | 110/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 114/2 |
| 13 | 12 | 126/2 |
| 14 | 20 | 146/2 |
| 15 | 3 | 149/3 |
| 16 | 12 | 161/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 171/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 177/6 |
| 19 | 17 | 194/7 |
| 20 | 12 | 206/8 |
Tawhid Hridoy: Niriho khoka · CC BY 4.0
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Tanzim Hasan Sakib: Cricket Today · CC BY 3.0
Jaker Ali: Press Information Department · Public domain
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shamim Hossain: DelwarHossain · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shariful Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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