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Bangladesh tour of United Arab Emirates · 2025 · Men
19 May 2025 · T20
Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Bangladesh more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 50%; Bangladesh batted first.
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 19% to 95% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 5% to 81%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanzid Hasancaught · Matiullah Khan · Saghir Khan 8 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Matiullah Khan · b Saghir Khan | 59 | 33 | 8 | 3 | 178.79 |
 Litton Dascaught · Saghir Khan · Muhammad Jawadullah3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Saghir Khan · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 40 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 125.00 |
 Najmul Hossain Shantocaught · D Parashar · Muhammad Jawadullah2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · D Parashar · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 27 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 142.11 |
 Tawhid Hridoycaught and bowled · Saghir Khan3 fours · 2 sixes |
| 45 |
| 24 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 187.50 |
 Jaker Alicaught · Rahul Chopra · Muhammad Jawadullah1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 18 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 300.00 |
|---|
 Shamim Hossainnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
 Rishad Hossainnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matiullah Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 15.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Haider Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| D Parashar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 3 | 11.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Saghir Khan0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Waseem Muhammad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-90 (Tanzid Hasan, 9.1) · 2-125 (Litton Das, 12.3) · 3-163 (Najmul Hossain Shanto, 16.4) · 4-197 (Jaker Ali, 18.4) · 5-201 (Tawhid Hridoy, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 17/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 23/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 36/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 39/0 |
| 5 | 15 | 54/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 66/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 72/0 |
| 8 | 13 | 85/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 90/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 94/1 |
| 11 | 16 | 110/1 |
| 12 | 13 | 123/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 128/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 135/2 |
| 15 | 10 | 145/2 |
| 16 | 15 | 160/2 |
| 17 | 5 | 165/3 |
| 18 | 16 | 181/3 |
| 19 | 20 | 201/4 |
| 20 | 4 | 205/5 |
Tawhid Hridoy: Niriho khoka · CC BY 4.0
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Tanzim Hasan Sakib: Cricket Today · CC BY 3.0
Jaker Ali: Press Information Department · Public domain
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shamim Hossain: DelwarHossain · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shariful Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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