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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
4 Jul 2025 · T20
County Ground, Northampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Northamptonshire started on 53%; Northamptonshire batted first.
Northamptonshire's chances ranged from 6% to 63% during the match (Lancashire: 37% to 94%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · b Ben Sanderson | 80 | 57 | 8 | 4 | 140.35 |
| Keaton Jenningscaught · Lloyd Pope · David Willey 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lloyd Pope · b David Willey | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
2 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b Lloyd Pope | 54 | 42 | 2 | 4 | 128.57 |
| Liam Livingstonebowled · George Scrimshaw 1 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b George Scrimshaw | 19 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 211.11 |
| caught · Lewis McManus · b George Scrimshaw |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Luke Wellsnot out 0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 15* | 4 | 0 | 2 | 375.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 7 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1.3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 11.33 | 1 | 0 | |
| Justin Broad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Saif Zaib0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-20 (Keaton Jennings, 2.1) · 2-143 (Jos Buttler, 16.3) · 3-155 (Philip Salt, 18.0) · 4-160 (Ashton Turner, 18.3) · 5-167 (Liam Livingstone, 19.0)
Recorded target: 178 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 13 | 49/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 57/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 64/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 68/1 |
| 10 | 14 | 82/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 91/1 |
| 12 | 7 | 98/1 |
| 13 | 9 | 107/1 |
| 14 | 16 | 123/1 |
| 15 | 8 | 131/1 |
| 16 | 5 | 136/1 |
| 17 | 9 | 145/2 |
| 18 | 10 | 155/3 |
| 19 | 12 | 167/5 |
| 20 | 14 | 181/5 |
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
Luke Procter: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.