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Papua New Guinea tour of Oman · 2023/24 · Men
8 Mar 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Papua New Guinea started on 36%; Papua New Guinea batted first.
Papua New Guinea's chances ranged from 0% to 55% during the match (Oman: 45% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PS Athavalecaught · Kabua Morea · Alei Nao 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kabua Morea · b Alei Nao | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Kashyap Prajapaticaught · CJA Amini · Kabua Morea 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CJA Amini · b Kabua Morea | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Aaqib Ilyaslbw · Chad Soper 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Chad Soper | 18 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 120.00 |
| Zeeshan Maqsoodcaught · Chad Soper · John Kariko 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chad Soper · b John Kariko | 16 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 160.00 |
| Khalid Kailnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 32* | 37 | 1 | 0 | 86.49 |
| Ayan Khan |
| caught · Kabua Morea · b Sese Bau |
| 13 |
| 18 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 72.22 |
| Mehran Khanbowled · Kabua Morea 0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Kabua Morea | 19 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 111.76 |
|---|
| Rafiullahnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 11* | 5 | 0 | 1 | 220.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kariko0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Alei Nao0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Kabua Morea0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Chad Soper0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Sese Bau0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Assad Vala0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (PS Athavale, 1.3) · 2-14 (Kashyap Prajapati, 2.3) · 3-39 (Zeeshan Maqsood, 5.2) · 4-47 (Aaqib Ilyas, 6.2) · 5-73 (Ayan Khan, 12.2) · 6-109 (Mehran Khan, 17.0)
Recorded target: 128 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 15/2 |
| 4 | 9 | 24/2 |
| 5 | 14 | 38/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 47/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 49/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 52/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 57/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 64/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 69/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 73/4 |
| 13 | 1 | 74/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 77/5 |
| 15 | 5 | 82/5 |
| 16 | 13 | 95/5 |
| 17 | 14 | 109/6 |
| 18 | 14 | 123/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 128/6 |
Assad Vala: LondonWriting · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
