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Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2023/24 · Men
22 Jan 2024 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Canterbury started on 47%; Canterbury batted first.
Canterbury's chances ranged from 36% to 100% during the match (Wellington: 0% to 64%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Kellybowled · Michael Rae 2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Michael Rae | 28 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 155.56 |
4 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Angus McKenzie | 41 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 113.89 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Hay · b Michael Rae | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Michael Bracewellcaught · Cole McConchie · William O’Rourke 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Cole McConchie · b William O’Rourke | 33 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 194.12 |
| stumped · Mitchell Hay · b Michael Rippon |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Henry Nicholls · b William O’Rourke | 8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 61.54 |
|---|
| Nathan Smithcaught · Henry Nicholls · Zakary Foulkes 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Henry Nicholls · b Zakary Foulkes | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Logan van Beekcaught · Cole McConchie · Angus McKenzie 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Cole McConchie · b Angus McKenzie | 20 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 181.82 |
|---|
| Adam Milnenot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 4 | 3 | 0 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Peter Younghusbandcaught · Henry Nicholls · Zakary Foulkes 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Henry Nicholls · b Zakary Foulkes | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Ben Searsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zakary Foulkes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Michael Rae0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Angus McKenzie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole McConchie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Rippon0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-39 (Nick Kelly, 5.0) · 2-49 (Muhammad Abbas, 6.3) · 3-97 (Michael Bracewell, 11.0) · 4-99 (Troy Johnson, 11.2) · 5-112 (Callum McLachlan, 14.1) · 6-120 (Gareth Severin, 15.5) · 7-142 (Logan van Beek, 18.0) · 8-142 (Nathan Smith, 18.1) · 9-144 (Peter Younghusband, 18.4)
Recorded target: 179 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 29/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 45/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 52/2 |
| 8 | 11 | 63/2 |
| 9 | 17 | 80/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 86/2 |
| 11 | 11 | 97/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 104/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 107/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 112/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 116/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 121/6 |
| 17 | 9 | 130/6 |
| 18 | 12 | 142/7 |
| 19 | 3 | 145/9 |
| 20 | 15 | 160/9 |
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Severin: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Callum McLachlan: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.