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Pakistan Women tour of Sri Lanka · 2026 · Women
25 Jul 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 47%; Pakistan batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vishmi Gunaratnestumped · Najiha Alvi · Nashra Sandhu 11 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Najiha Alvi · b Nashra Sandhu | 123 | 123 | 11 | 1 | 100.00 |
 Chamari Atapattucaught · Najiha Alvi · Fatima Sana0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Najiha Alvi · b Fatima Sana | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
 Harshitha Madavinot out9 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 100* | 119 | 9 | 0 | 84.03 |
 Kavisha Dilharinot out5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 40* | 33 | 5 | 0 | 121.21 |
Pakistan's chances ranged from 0% to 73% during the match (Sri Lanka: 27% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Sana0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 5.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Tasmia Rubab0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Umm-e-Hani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nashra Sandhu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 60 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Syeda Aroob Shah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 5.30 | 0 | 0 |
| Ayesha Zafar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.5 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 7.03 | 0 | 0 |
1-20 (Chamari Atapattu, 4.1) · 2-223 (Vishmi Gunaratne, 39.2)
Recorded target: 274 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 23/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 29/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 33/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 36/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 45/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 48/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 52/1 |
| 12 | 7 | 59/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 64/1 |
| 14 | 6 | 70/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 73/1 |
| 16 | 7 | 80/1 |
| 17 | 4 | 84/1 |
| 18 | 5 | 89/1 |
| 19 | 5 | 94/1 |
| 20 | 10 | 104/1 |
| 21 | 2 | 106/1 |
| 22 | 4 | 110/1 |
| 23 | 3 | 113/1 |
| 24 | 5 | 118/1 |
| 25 | 8 | 126/1 |
| 26 | 2 | 128/1 |
| 27 | 2 | 130/1 |
| 28 | 3 | 133/1 |
| 29 | 4 | 137/1 |
| 30 | 10 | 147/1 |
| 31 | 10 | 157/1 |
| 32 | 14 | 171/1 |
| 33 | 6 | 177/1 |
| 34 | 3 | 180/1 |
| 35 | 9 | 189/1 |
| 36 | 8 | 197/1 |
| 37 | 7 | 204/1 |
| 38 | 8 | 212/1 |
| 39 | 8 | 220/1 |
| 40 | 4 | 224/2 |
| 41 | 7 | 231/2 |
| 42 | 5 | 236/2 |
| 43 | 8 | 244/2 |
| 44 | 9 | 253/2 |
| 45 | 4 | 257/2 |
| 46 | 4 | 261/2 |
| 47 | 14 | 275/2 |
Chamari Atapattu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nilakshi de Silva: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasini Perera: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harshitha Madavi: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kavisha Dilhari: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Anushka Sanjeewani: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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