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Asian Games Men's Qualifier · 2026 · Men
7 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Malaysia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 55%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 0% to 58% during the match (Hong Kong: 42% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nizakat Khancaught · Sharvin Muniandy · Syed Aziz 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sharvin Muniandy · b Syed Aziz | 17 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 141.67 |
| Anshuman Rathbowled · Vijay Unni 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Vijay Unni | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Babar Hayatnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 24* | 32 | 1 | 1 | 75.00 |
| S Mathurbowled · Virandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Virandeep Singh | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Yasim Murtazalbw · Vijay Unni 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Vijay Unni | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Shahid Wasifnot out3 fours · 6 sixes |
| not out |
| 59* |
| 42 |
| 3 |
| 6 |
| 140.48 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syed Aziz0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 7.80 | 1 | 0 |
| Pavandeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Vijay Unni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Virandeep Singh2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Amir Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sharvin Muniandy0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Azri Azhar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-24 (Nizakat Khan, 3.0) · 2-28 (Anshuman Rath, 3.4) · 3-37 (S Mathur, 6.2) · 4-44 (Yasim Murtaza, 9.1)
Recorded target: 115 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 28/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 34/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 36/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 40/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 44/3 |
| 9 | 0 | 44/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 50/4 |
| 11 | 1 | 51/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 57/4 |
| 13 | 11 | 68/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 76/4 |
| 15 | 13 | 89/4 |
| 16 | 0 | 89/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 98/4 |
| 18 | 14 | 112/4 |
| 19 | 8 | 120/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.