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Asian Games Men's Qualifier · 2026 · Men
7 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Malaysia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 55%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 0% to 58% during the match (Hong Kong: 42% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Haziq Aimanbowled · Ayush Shukla 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ayush Shukla | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Muhammad Amirbowled · Ayush Shukla 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ayush Shukla | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Muhammad Akrambowled · Ehsan Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ehsan Khan | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 |
| Virandeep Singhlbw · Hassan Khan Mohammad 4 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Hassan Khan Mohammad | 45 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 109.76 |
| Syed Azizbowled · Ehsan Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ehsan Khan | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| Muhamad Syahadat |
| caught · Ayush Shukla · b Yasim Murtaza |
| 9 |
| 19 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 47.37 |
| Sharvin Muniandycaught · Yasim Murtaza · Ehsan Khan 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Yasim Murtaza · b Ehsan Khan | 20 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 153.85 |
|---|
| Azri Azharcaught · Yasim Murtaza · Hassan Khan Mohammad 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Yasim Murtaza · b Hassan Khan Mohammad | 13 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 130.00 |
|---|
| Amir Khanbowled · Ehsan Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ehsan Khan | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Vijay Unninot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayush Shukla1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Hassan Khan Mohammad0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Ehsan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nasrulla Rana0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Yasim Murtaza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Muhammad Haziq Aiman, 0.3) · 2-9 (Muhammad Amir, 2.2) · 3-21 (Muhammad Akram, 6.0) · 4-40 (Syed Aziz, 8.0) · 5-66 (Muhamad Syahadat, 13.5) · 6-72 (Virandeep Singh, 14.4) · 7-88 (Azri Azhar, 17.0) · 8-89 (Amir Khan, 17.5) · 9-114 (Sharvin Muniandy, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 10/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 17/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 20/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 21/3 |
| 7 | 17 | 38/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 40/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 43/4 |
| 10 | 2 | 45/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 48/4 |
| 12 | 3 | 51/4 |
| 13 | 9 | 60/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 67/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 73/6 |
| 16 | 8 | 81/6 |
| 17 | 7 | 88/7 |
| 18 | 2 | 90/8 |
| 19 | 9 | 99/8 |
| 20 | 15 | 114/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.