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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
India tour of Zimbabwe · 2024 · Men
13 Jul 2024 · T20
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 20%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 0% to 37% during the match (India: 63% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Madheverecaught · Rinku Singh · Shivam Dube 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rinku Singh · b Shivam Dube | 25 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 104.17 |
| Tadiwanashe Marumanicaught · Rinku Singh · Abhishek Sharma 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rinku Singh · b Abhishek Sharma | 32 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 103.23 |
| Brian Bennettcaught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · Washington Sundar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · b Washington Sundar | 9 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 64.29 |
 Sikandar Razacaught · Shubman Gill · Tushar Deshpande2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Shubman Gill · b Tushar Deshpande | 46 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 164.29 |
 |
| run out · Ravi Bishnoi |
| 3 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Dion Myerscaught and bowled · Khaleel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Khaleel Ahmed | 12 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 92.31 |
|---|
 Clive Madandecaught · Rinku Singh · Khaleel Ahmed1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rinku Singh · b Khaleel Ahmed | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Faraz Akramnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khaleel Ahmed0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 2 | 1 |
 Tushar Deshpande0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ravi Bishnoi0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 5 | 0 |
 Washington Sundar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Abhishek Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Shivam Dube0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-63 (Tadiwanashe Marumani, 8.4) · 2-67 (Wesley Madhevere, 10.0) · 3-92 (Brian Bennett, 13.4) · 4-96 (Johnathan Campbell, 14.4) · 5-141 (Sikandar Raza, 18.3) · 6-147 (Dion Myers, 19.1) · 7-152 (Clive Madande, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 25/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 35/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 39/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 44/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 48/0 |
| 8 | 10 | 58/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 64/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 67/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 71/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 79/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 89/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 93/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 98/4 |
| 16 | 13 | 111/4 |
| 17 | 18 | 129/4 |
| 18 | 9 | 138/4 |
| 19 | 9 | 147/5 |
| 20 | 5 | 152/7 |
Sanju Samson: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Tushar Deshpande: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Johnathan Campbell: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shivam Dube: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Clive Madande: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Khaleel Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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