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Photo: G patkar
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
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New Zealand tour of India · 2024/25 · Men
1 Nov 2024 · Test
Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalbowled · Ajaz Patel4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ajaz Patel | 30 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 57.69 |
 Rohit Sharmacaught · Tom Latham · Matt Henry3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Matt Henry | 18 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Shubman Gillcaught · Daryl Mitchell · Ajaz Patel7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Daryl Mitchell · b Ajaz Patel | 90 | 146 | 7 | 1 | 61.64 |
| lbw · b Ajaz Patel |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Virat Kohlirun out · Matt Henry · Rachin Ravindra1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Matt Henry | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Rishabh Pantlbw · Ish Sodhi8 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Ish Sodhi | 60 | 59 | 8 | 2 | 101.69 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejacaught · Daryl Mitchell · Glenn Phillips0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daryl Mitchell · b Glenn Phillips | 14 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 56.00 |
|---|
| Sarfaraz Khancaught · Tom Blundell · Ajaz Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b Ajaz Patel | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Washington Sundarnot out4 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 38* | 36 | 4 | 2 | 105.56 |
|---|
 Ravichandran Ashwincaught · Daryl Mitchell · Ajaz Patel1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daryl Mitchell · b Ajaz Patel | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 46.15 |
|---|
| Akash Deeprun out · Rachin Ravindra, Tom Blundell · Ajaz Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Rachin Ravindra, Tom Blundell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Henry1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 3.25 | 0 | 1 |
 William O’Rourke1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Ajaz Patel3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 21.4 | 3 | 103 | 5 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Glenn Phillips0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 20.0 | 0 | 84 | 1 | 4.20 | 0 | 0 |
 Rachin Ravindra0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 1 |
 Ish Sodhi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 5.14 | 0 | 0 |
1-25 (Rohit Sharma, 6.5) · 2-78 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 17.2) · 3-78 (Mohammed Siraj, 17.3) · 4-84 (Virat Kohli, 18.3) · 5-180 (Rishabh Pant, 37.3) · 6-203 (Ravindra Jadeja, 46.5) · 7-204 (Sarfaraz Khan, 48.0) · 8-227 (Shubman Gill, 53.2) · 9-247 (Ravichandran Ashwin, 58.0) · 10-263 (Akash Deep, 59.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 11/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 17/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 24/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 25/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 30/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 32/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 35/1 |
| 11 | 10 | 45/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 46/1 |
| 13 | 3 | 49/1 |
| 14 | 9 | 58/1 |
| 15 | 7 | 65/1 |
| 16 | 8 | 73/1 |
| 17 | 5 | 78/1 |
| 18 | 0 | 78/3 |
| 19 | 8 | 86/4 |
| 20 | 12 | 98/4 |
| 21 | 1 | 99/4 |
| 22 | 4 | 103/4 |
| 23 | 5 | 108/4 |
| 24 | 6 | 114/4 |
| 25 | 5 | 119/4 |
| 26 | 7 | 126/4 |
| 27 | 5 | 131/4 |
| 28 | 11 | 142/4 |
| 29 | 9 | 151/4 |
| 30 | 8 | 159/4 |
| 31 | 2 | 161/4 |
| 32 | 1 | 162/4 |
| 33 | 1 | 163/4 |
| 34 | 2 | 165/4 |
| 35 | 4 | 169/4 |
| 36 | 3 | 172/4 |
| 37 | 3 | 175/4 |
| 38 | 7 | 182/5 |
| 39 | 1 | 183/5 |
| 40 | 4 | 187/5 |
| 41 | 3 | 190/5 |
| 42 | 3 | 193/5 |
| 43 | 2 | 195/5 |
| 44 | 0 | 195/5 |
| 45 | 3 | 198/5 |
| 46 | 2 | 200/5 |
| 47 | 3 | 203/6 |
| 48 | 1 | 204/7 |
| 49 | 8 | 212/7 |
| 50 | 9 | 221/7 |
| 51 | 1 | 222/7 |
| 52 | 2 | 224/7 |
| 53 | 3 | 227/7 |
| 54 | 0 | 227/8 |
| 55 | 5 | 232/8 |
| 56 | 7 | 239/8 |
| 57 | 7 | 246/8 |
| 58 | 1 | 247/9 |
| 59 | 11 | 258/9 |
| 60 | 5 | 263/10 |
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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