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New Zealand tour of India · 2024/25 · Men
1 Nov 2024 · Test
Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Lathambowled · Washington Sundar3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Washington Sundar | 28 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 63.64 |
| Devon Conwaylbw · Akash Deep 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Akash Deep | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 36.36 |
 Will Youngcaught · Rohit Sharma · Ravindra Jadeja4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Rohit Sharma · b Ravindra Jadeja | 71 | 138 | 4 | 2 | 51.45 |
 |
| bowled · b Washington Sundar |
| 5 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 41.67 |
| Daryl Mitchellcaught · Rohit Sharma · Washington Sundar 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Rohit Sharma · b Washington Sundar | 82 | 129 | 3 | 3 | 63.57 |
|---|
 Tom Blundellbowled · Ravindra Jadeja0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ravindra Jadeja | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Glenn Phillipsbowled · Ravindra Jadeja 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ravindra Jadeja | 17 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 60.71 |
|---|
 Ish Sodhilbw · Ravindra Jadeja1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ravindra Jadeja | 7 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 36.84 |
|---|
 Matt Henrybowled · Ravindra Jadeja0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ravindra Jadeja | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ajaz Patellbw · Washington Sundar0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Washington Sundar | 7 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 43.75 |
|---|
 William O’Rourkenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 0 · noballs: 9 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammed Siraj0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Akash Deep0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 4.40 | 0 | 1 |
 Ravichandran Ashwin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 3.36 | 0 | 0 |
 Washington Sundar2 maidens · 0 wides · 5 no-balls | 18.4 | 2 | 81 | 4 | 4.34 | 0 | 5 |
 Ravindra Jadeja1 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 22.0 | 1 | 65 | 5 | 2.95 | 0 | 3 |
1-15 (Devon Conway, 3.2) · 2-59 (Tom Latham, 16.0) · 3-72 (Rachin Ravindra, 20.0) · 4-159 (Will Young, 44.2) · 5-159 (Tom Blundell, 44.5) · 6-187 (Glenn Phillips, 53.0) · 7-210 (Ish Sodhi, 60.4) · 8-210 (Matt Henry, 61.0) · 9-228 (Daryl Mitchell, 65.1) · 10-235 (Ajaz Patel, 65.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 15/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 17/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 19/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 24/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 27/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 28/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 37/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 39/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 43/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 45/1 |
| 14 | 6 | 51/1 |
| 15 | 8 | 59/1 |
| 16 | 0 | 59/2 |
| 17 | 2 | 61/2 |
| 18 | 6 | 67/2 |
| 19 | 3 | 70/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 72/3 |
| 21 | 3 | 75/3 |
| 22 | 3 | 78/3 |
| 23 | 1 | 79/3 |
| 24 | 2 | 81/3 |
| 25 | 4 | 85/3 |
| 26 | 3 | 88/3 |
| 27 | 4 | 92/3 |
| 28 | 6 | 98/3 |
| 29 | 5 | 103/3 |
| 30 | 9 | 112/3 |
| 31 | 0 | 112/3 |
| 32 | 0 | 112/3 |
| 33 | 3 | 115/3 |
| 34 | 6 | 121/3 |
| 35 | 4 | 125/3 |
| 36 | 1 | 126/3 |
| 37 | 2 | 128/3 |
| 38 | 2 | 130/3 |
| 39 | 1 | 131/3 |
| 40 | 3 | 134/3 |
| 41 | 8 | 142/3 |
| 42 | 4 | 146/3 |
| 43 | 7 | 153/3 |
| 44 | 5 | 158/3 |
| 45 | 1 | 159/5 |
| 46 | 2 | 161/5 |
| 47 | 3 | 164/5 |
| 48 | 3 | 167/5 |
| 49 | 5 | 172/5 |
| 50 | 3 | 175/5 |
| 51 | 1 | 176/5 |
| 52 | 7 | 183/5 |
| 53 | 4 | 187/6 |
| 54 | 3 | 190/6 |
| 55 | 2 | 192/6 |
| 56 | 1 | 193/6 |
| 57 | 1 | 194/6 |
| 58 | 6 | 200/6 |
| 59 | 2 | 202/6 |
| 60 | 3 | 205/6 |
| 61 | 5 | 210/8 |
| 62 | 7 | 217/8 |
| 63 | 1 | 218/8 |
| 64 | 7 | 225/8 |
| 65 | 3 | 228/8 |
| 66 | 7 | 235/10 |
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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